Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 14
Apr 16, 2024 12.00am
1
3
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio Juan Domingo Peron
  • Damian Puebla 26' goal
  • Damian Puebla 26' goal
  • Gaston Lodico 37' yellowcard
  • Gaston Lodico 37' yellowcard
  • Guido Mainero 56' yellowcard
  • Guido Mainero 56' yellowcard
  • Juan Franco 61' yellowcard
  • Juan Franco 61' yellowcard
  • Miguel Brizuela 87' yellowcard
  • Miguel Brizuela 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ignacio Fernandez 47'
  • yellowcard Ignacio Fernandez 47'
  • goal Facundo Colidio 57'
  • goal Facundo Colidio 57'
  • goal Facundo Colidio 62'
  • goal Facundo Colidio 62'
  • goal Facundo Colidio 73'
  • goal Facundo Colidio 73'
  • yellowcard Enzo Diaz 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Enzo Diaz 90'+2'

Instituto vs River Plate - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Instituto

All competitions
Argentine Primera Division
Last game
Apr 7, 2024 8.00pm
Barracas Central 3 - 2 Instituto
Goals scored
50
Top scorer
Damian Puebla

River Plate

All competitions
Argentine Primera Division
Last game
Apr 8, 2024 1.00am
River Plate 2 - 1 Rosario
Goals scored
66
Top scorer
Miguel Borja

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 54.51%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Instituto had a probability of 19.86%.

The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.22%) and 1-2 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.89%), while for a Instituto win it was 1-0 (7.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that River Plate would win this match.

Result

Instituto 19.86% (-0.26)
Draw 25.63% (+0.14)
River Plate 54.51% (+0.13)

Both Teams to Score: 

43.99% (-0.69)

Goals

Over 2.5 42.11% (-0.72)
Under 2.5 57.9% (+0.72)
Over 3.5 21.39% (-0.57)
Under 3.5 78.61% (+0.57)
Over 4.5 9.15% (-0.34)
Under 4.5 90.85% (+0.35)

Instituto Goals

Over 0.5 55.91% (-0.70)
Under 0.5 44.09% (+0.71)
Over 1.5 19.8% (-0.58)
Under 1.5 80.2% (+0.59)

River Plate Goals

Over 0.5 78.69% (-0.24)
Under 0.5 21.31% (+0.24)
Over 1.5 45.74% (-0.37)
Under 1.5 54.26% (+0.38)

Score analysis

Instituto 19.86%
Draw 25.63%
River Plate 54.5%
Instituto
1-0 @ 7.7% (+0.07)
2-1 @ 4.87% (-0.10)
2-0 @ 3.15% (-0.04)
3-1 @ 1.33% (-0.06)
3-2 @ 1.03% (-0.05)
Other @ 1.78%
Total : 19.86%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.89% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 9.4% (+0.26)
2-2 @ 3.77% (-0.10)
Other @ 0.57%
Total : 25.63%
River Plate
0-1 @ 14.52% (+0.29)
0-2 @ 11.22% (+0.15)
1-2 @ 9.2% (-0.07)
0-3 @ 5.79% (+0.04)
1-3 @ 4.74% (-0.07)
0-4 @ 2.24% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.94% (-0.07)
1-4 @ 1.83% (-0.04)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 54.5%

Head to Head

Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 14
Nov 26, 2023 9.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Monumental Antonio Vespucio Liberti
Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 21
Jun 22, 2023 11.45pm
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT Estadio Monumental Antonio Vespucio Liberti
  • Nicolas de la Cruz 34' goal
  • Ignacio Fernandez 50' goal
  • Lucas Beltran 84' goal
  • goal Santiago Rodriguez 1'