Copa Libertadores
Apr 10, 2024 1.00am
3
0
HT : 4 0
FT Estadio Defensores del Chaco
  • Lucas Sanabria 32' goal
  • Lucas Sanabria 32' goal
  • Lorenzo Melgarejo 39' goal
  • Lorenzo Melgarejo 39' goal
  • Hernesto Caballero 53' yellowcard
  • Hernesto Caballero 53' yellowcard
  • Gustavo Aguilar 78' goal
  • Gustavo Aguilar 78' goal
  • yellowcard Maurice Cova 56'
  • yellowcard Maurice Cova 56'
  • yellowcard Carlos Robles 73'
  • yellowcard Carlos Robles 73'
  • yellowcard Bryan Jose Castillo Rosendo 76'
  • yellowcard Bryan Castillo 76'

Club Libertad vs Deportivo Tachira - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Club Libertad

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
Apr 3, 2024 11.00pm
Nacional 2 - 0 Libertad

Deportivo Tachira

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
Apr 3, 2024 1.30am
Tachira 0 - 2 River Plate

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Libertad win with a probability of 50%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for Deportivo Tachira had a probability of 21.98%.

The most likely scoreline for a Club Libertad win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.69%) and 2-1 (8.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.55%), while for a Deportivo Tachira win it was 0-1 (9.27%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Club Libertad would win this match.

Result

Club Libertad 50% (-0.23)
Draw 28.03% (+0.12)
Deportivo Tachira 21.98% (+0.11)

Both Teams to Score: 

40.65% (-0.16)

Goals

Over 2.5 36.33% (-0.27)
Under 2.5 63.67% (+0.27)
Over 3.5 17.05% (-0.20)
Under 3.5 82.95% (+0.19)
Over 4.5 6.69% (-0.11)
Under 4.5 93.3% (+0.11)

Club Libertad Goals

Over 0.5 74.17% (-0.23)
Under 0.5 25.83% (+0.23)
Over 1.5 39.2% (-0.31)
Under 1.5 60.79% (+0.31)

Deportivo Tachira Goals

Over 0.5 54.81% (-0.05)
Under 0.5 45.19% (+0.04)
Over 1.5 18.92% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 81.08% (+0.03)

Score analysis

Club Libertad 49.98%
Draw 28.03%
Deportivo Tachira 21.98%
Club Libertad
1-0 @ 15.79% (+0.05)
2-0 @ 10.69% (-0.04)
2-1 @ 8.5% (-0.04)
3-0 @ 4.83% (-0.05)
3-1 @ 3.83% (-0.05)
4-0 @ 1.63% (-0.03)
3-2 @ 1.52% (-0.02)
4-1 @ 1.3% (-0.03)
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 49.98%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.55% (+0.04)
0-0 @ 11.67% (+0.12)
2-2 @ 3.37% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.43%
Total : 28.03%
Deportivo Tachira
0-1 @ 9.27% (+0.08)
1-2 @ 4.99% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 3.68% (+0.03)
1-3 @ 1.32%
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 21.98%