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Copa Libertadores

Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
May 15, 2024 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Monumental Antonio Vespucio Liberti
Club Libertad

River Plate
2 - 0
Libertad

Borja (41', 41', 84', 84')
Diaz (65'), Diaz (65')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Caballero (68'), Caballero (68'), Bareiro (75'), Bareiro (75')
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between River Plate and Club Libertad.

Form, Standings, Stats

River Plate

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last Game: River Plate 3-0 C. Cordoba
Saturday, May 11 at 11.45pm in Argentine Primera Division

Club Libertad

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Tachira 1-1 Libertad
Wednesday, May 8 at 1am in Copa Libertadores

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 69.11%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Club Libertad had a probability of 12.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.25%) and 2-1 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.64%), while for a Club Libertad win it was 0-1 (3.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for River Plate in this match.

Result
River PlateDrawClub Libertad
69.11% (0.034999999999997 0.03)18.26% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)12.63% (-0.019 -0.02)
Both teams to score 50.89% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.56% (0.025999999999996 0.03)40.44% (-0.028000000000006 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.18% (0.026000000000003 0.03)62.82% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)
River Plate Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.38% (0.016000000000005 0.02)10.62% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.57% (0.034999999999997 0.03)34.43% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Club Libertad Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.93% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)43.07% (0.012 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.65% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)79.35% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Score Analysis
    River Plate 69.09%
    Club Libertad 12.63%
    Draw 18.26%
River PlateDrawClub Libertad
2-0 @ 11.49%
1-0 @ 10.25% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.69% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-0 @ 8.6% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-1 @ 7.24% (0.0039999999999996 0)
4-0 @ 4.82% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
4-1 @ 4.06% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-2 @ 3.05%
5-0 @ 2.16% (0.0049999999999999 0)
5-1 @ 1.82% (0.0029999999999999 0)
4-2 @ 1.71% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 4.21%
Total : 69.09%
1-1 @ 8.64% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.57% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.08% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 18.26%
0-1 @ 3.85% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-2 @ 3.64% (-0.004 -0)
0-2 @ 1.62% (-0.0039999999999998 -0)
2-3 @ 1.15% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 1.02% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 1.35%
Total : 12.63%

Head to Head
Apr 25, 2024 1.30am
Group Stage
Libertad
1-2
River Plate
Espinoza (40')
Merlini (74'), Ramirez (84'), Cardozo (88')
Solari (34'), Mastantuono (80')
Aliendro (59'), Fonseca (74'), Colidio (82')