Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 14
Nacional
May 25, 2024 10.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Gran Parque Central
Danubio
  • 66' goal
  • Diego Polenta 83' yellowcard
  • Ruben Bentancourt 84' goal
  • Ruben Bentancourt 85' yellowcard
  • Gabriel Baez 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Santiago Romero 17'
  • yellowcard Lucas Ferreira 42'
  • yellowcard Gabriel Leyes 90'

Nacional vs Danubio - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Nacional

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last game
May 21, 2024 12.00am
Maldonado 0 - 2 Nacional
Goals scored
87
Top scorer
Nicolas Lopez

Danubio

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last game
May 19, 2024 4.30pm
Danubio 0 - 1 Racing
Goals scored
38
Top scorer
Sebastian Fernandez

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 58.57%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Danubio had a probability of 19.02%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.35%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.64%), while for a Danubio win it was 0-1 (5.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Nacional in this match.

Result

Nacional 58.57% ▼ (-0.01)
Draw 22.41% ▲ (+0.01)
Danubio 19.02% ▼ (-0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.97% ▼ (-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5 53.42% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 2.5 46.57% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 3.5 31.15% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 3.5 68.85% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 4.5 15.47% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 4.5 84.52% ▲ (+0.02)

Nacional Goals

Over 0.5 84.42% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 0.5 15.57% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 1.5 55.46% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 1.5 44.54% ▲ (+0.02)

Danubio Goals

Over 0.5 61.56% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 0.5 38.44% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 1.5 24.81% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 1.5 75.19% ▲ (+0.02)

Score analysis

Nacional 58.56%
Draw 22.4%
Danubio 19.02%
Nacional
1-0 @ 11.13% ▲ (+0.02)
2-0 @ 10.35% ▲ (+0.01)
2-1 @ 9.9% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 6.42%
3-1 @ 6.13% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 2.98% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.93% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 2.85% ▼ (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.36% ▼ (-0.01)
5-0 @ 1.11% ▼ (-0.01)
5-1 @ 1.06% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 58.56%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.64%
0-0 @ 5.99% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 4.73% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 1.05%
Total : 22.4%
Danubio
0-1 @ 5.72% ▲ (+0.01)
1-2 @ 5.09% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 2.74%
1-3 @ 1.62%
2-3 @ 1.51% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 19.02%

Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 10
Nacional
Nov 16, 2023 12.30am
1
3
HT : 2 2
FT Estadio Gran Parque Central
Danubio
  • Federico Martinez 37' yellowcard
  • Federico Martinez 37' yellowcard
  • Federico Martinez 39' goal
  • Federico Martinez 40' goal
  • Daniel Bocanegra 44' yellowcard
  • Daniel Bocanegra 45' yellowcard
  • Gabriel Baez 83' yellowcard
  • Gabriel Baez 83' yellowcard
  • Gabriel Baez 87' redcard
  • Gabriel Baez 87' redcard
  • Diego Polenta 88' yellowcard
  • Diego Polenta 88' yellowcard
  • goal Santiago Romero 7'
  • goal Santiago Romero 8'
  • yellowcard Santiago Etchebarne 13'
  • yellowcard Santiago Etchebarne 15'
  • goal Sebastian Fernandez 64'
  • goal Sebastian Fernandez 64'
  • yellowcard Kevin Lewis 71'
  • yellowcard Kevin Lewis 72'
  • yellowcard Lucas Ferreira 79'
  • yellowcard Lucas Ferreira 81'
  • yellowcard Juan Millan 90'
  • goal Juan Millan 90'+5'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 10
Danubio
Apr 9, 2023 7.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Jardines del Hipódromo
Nacional
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 15
Nacional
Oct 23, 2022 11.30pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio Gran Parque Central
Danubio
  • Franco Fagundez 5' goal
  • Luis Suarez 45' goal
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 3
Danubio
Jun 25, 2022 7.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Jardines del Hipódromo
Nacional
  • Martin Rea 24' yellowcard
  • Diego Vicente 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Nicolas Marichal 24'
  • yellowcard Alex Castro 57'
  • yellowcard Mathias Laborda 73'
  • goal Jose Luis Rodriguez 80'
  • yellowcard Felipe Carballo 90'+4'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 15
Danubio
Jun 5, 2022 7.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Jardines del Hipódromo
Nacional
  • Rafael German Haller Piloni 6' goal
  • Rafael German Haller Piloni 12' redcard
  • Jorge Fossati 13' yellowcard
  • Martin Rea 38' yellowcard
  • Diego Vicente 49' yellowcard
  • Nicolas Rodriguez 72' goal
  • Lucas Ferreira 76' yellowcard
  • Ribair Rodriguez 84' yellowcard
  • Ribair Rodriguez 84' redcard
  • Leandro Navarro 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Camilo Candido 51'
  • goal Franco Fagundez 61'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 12
Danubio
Mar 13, 2021 7.30pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT
Nacional
  • Javier Mendez 21' yellowcard
  • Lucas Monzon 29' yellowcard
  • Nicolas Siri 41' goal
  • Javier Mendez 90'+1' goal
  • Salvador Ichazo 90'+7' yellowcard
  • goal Thiago Vecino 23'
  • yellowcard Thiago Vecino 37'
  • yellowcard Guzman Corujo 44'
  • yellowcard Renzo Orihuela 50'

Form Data

Maldonado 0 - 2 Nacional
Tachira 0 - 1 Nacional
Nacional 1 - 4 Fenix
Nacional 2 - 2 River Plate
Nacional 4 - 2 Racing
Cerro 1 - 2 Nacional
Danubio 0 - 1 Racing
Athletico PR 1 - 2 Danubio
Cerro 2 - 0 Danubio
Ameliano 2 - 1 Danubio
Danubio 1 - 1 Rampla
Miramar Misiones 3 - 5 Danubio