Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 13
May 21, 2024 at 12am UK
Estadio Domingo Burgueno Miguel

Maldonado
0 - 2
Nacional


Noble (22'), Noble (22'), Menosse (60'), Menosse (60'), Romero (86'), Gonzalez (87'), Romero (87'), Rodriguez (87'), Pereyra (88'), Polenta (88'), Cantera (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Pereyra (49'), Zabala (79', 79', 90+5'), Carneiro (90+5' og.)
Izquierdo (20'), Izquierdo (20'), Castro (32'), Castro (32'), Lozano (34'), Lozano (34'), Pereyra (66'), Carneiro (66'), Carneiro (85'), Gonzalez (86'), Polenta (90+2'), Polenta (90+3')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Deportivo Maldonado and Nacional.

Form, Standings, Stats

Deportivo Maldonado

All competitions
Last Game: Racing 0-1 Maldonado
Saturday, May 11 at 7pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Nacional

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Tachira 0-1 Nacional
Wednesday, May 15 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 52.04%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Deportivo Maldonado had a probability of 21.45%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.73%) and 1-2 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.25%), while for a Deportivo Maldonado win it was 1-0 (8.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nacional would win this match.

Result
Deportivo MaldonadoDrawNacional
21.45% (-0.104 -0.1)26.51% (0.141 0.14)52.04% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
Both teams to score 43.78% (-0.488 -0.49)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.7% (-0.57100000000001 -0.57)59.29% (0.566 0.57)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.3% (-0.445 -0.45)79.7% (0.437 0.44)
Deportivo Maldonado Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.82% (-0.44 -0.44)43.17% (0.433 0.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.56% (-0.372 -0.37)79.44% (0.36500000000001 0.37)
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.04% (-0.264 -0.26)22.95% (0.257 0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.26% (-0.387 -0.39)56.73% (0.378 0.38)
Score Analysis
    Deportivo Maldonado 21.45%
    Nacional 52.03%
    Draw 26.51%
Deportivo MaldonadoDrawNacional
1-0 @ 8.32% (0.078000000000001 0.08)
2-1 @ 5.14% (-0.053 -0.05)
2-0 @ 3.5% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
3-1 @ 1.44% (-0.033 -0.03)
3-2 @ 1.06% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-0 @ 0.98% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 1.01%
Total : 21.45%
1-1 @ 12.25% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 9.91% (0.21 0.21)
2-2 @ 3.79% (-0.068 -0.07)
Other @ 0.56%
Total : 26.51%
0-1 @ 14.58% (0.2 0.2)
0-2 @ 10.73% (0.07 0.07)
1-2 @ 9.01% (-0.053000000000001 -0.05)
0-3 @ 5.27% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-3 @ 4.42% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-4 @ 1.94% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.86% (-0.048 -0.05)
1-4 @ 1.63% (-0.035 -0.03)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 52.03%

Head to Head
Oct 24, 2023 12.15am
Gameweek 7
Nacional
1-3
Maldonado
Zabala (15')
Fagundez (28'), Galeano (67')
De Leon (40', 61'), Spinelli (85')
Fernandez (8'), Cayetano (33'), de Leon (62'), Cartagena (66'), Alfaro (82')
Jun 17, 2023 10pm
Gameweek 2
Nacional
4-0
Maldonado
Ramirez (45+2'), Martinez (56'), Trezza (75'), Damiani (86')
Candido (16'), Zabala (47'), Rodriguez (61'), Polenta (81')

Darias (20'), Reyes (45+4'), Cantera (45+4')
Mar 18, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 7
Maldonado
0-0
Nacional
Jul 30, 2022 11pm
Gameweek 1
Maldonado
2-1
Nacional
Cantera (21', 44')
Cayetano (45+5')
Cayetano (62')
Ramirez (62')
Marichal (4'), Luis Rodriguez (26'), Gigliotti (56'), Rochet (88')
Marichal (20')
Feb 6, 2022 11pm
Gameweek 1
Nacional
2-3
Maldonado
Gigliotti (84'), Zunino (90+3')
Rodriguez (23'), Gigliotti (69'), Luis Rodriguez (72'), Ramirez (90+5')
Gigliotti (90')
Darias (67'), Marichal (71' og.), Cantera (90+7')
Darias (23')
rhs 2.0


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