Copa Libertadores
May 30, 2024 11.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Estadio Banco Guayaquil
  • Lautaro Diaz 20' goal
  • Jordy Alcivar 43' yellowcard
  • Lautaro Diaz 55' goal
  • yellowcard Agustin Cayetano 16'
  • yellowcard Agustin Gonzalez 17'
  • yellowcard Hebert Vergara 22'
  • goal Agustin Gonzalez 35'
  • yellowcard Jean Rosso 90'+4'

Independiente del Valle vs Liverpool - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Independiente del Valle

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
May 16, 2024 1.30am
Palmeiras 2 - 1 Independiente

Liverpool

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
May 17, 2024 1.00am
San Lorenzo 3 - 2 Liverpool

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente del Valle win with a probability of 69.48%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for Liverpool had a probability of 12.83%.

The most likely scoreline for a Independiente del Valle win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.65%) and 1-0 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.26%), while for a Liverpool win it was 1-2 (3.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Independiente del Valle would win this match.

Result

Independiente del Valle 69.48% (-1.42)
Draw 17.69% (+0.53)
Liverpool 12.83% (+0.89)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.63% (+0.93)

Goals

Over 2.5 62.81% (-0.21)
Under 2.5 37.19% (+0.21)
Over 3.5 40.61% (-0.22)
Under 3.5 59.39% (+0.22)
Over 4.5 22.63% (-0.18)
Under 4.5 77.37% (+0.18)

Independiente del Valle Goals

Over 0.5 90.35% (-0.39)
Under 0.5 9.65% (+0.39)
Over 1.5 67.79% (-0.91)
Under 1.5 32.21% (+0.91)

Liverpool Goals

Over 0.5 59.36% (+1.28)
Under 0.5 40.64% (-1.28)
Over 1.5 22.76% (+1.13)
Under 1.5 77.23% (-1.13)

Score analysis

Independiente del Valle 69.48%
Draw 17.69%
Liverpool 12.83%
Independiente del Valle
2-0 @ 10.72% (-0.26)
2-1 @ 9.65% (+0.10)
1-0 @ 9.17% (-0.07)
3-0 @ 8.36% (-0.36)
3-1 @ 7.52% (-0.06)
4-0 @ 4.89% (-0.30)
4-1 @ 4.4% (-0.11)
3-2 @ 3.39% (+0.10)
5-0 @ 2.29% (-0.19)
5-1 @ 2.06% (-0.09)
4-2 @ 1.98% (+0.03)
Other @ 5.07%
Total : 69.48%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.26% (+0.23)
2-2 @ 4.35% (+0.20)
0-0 @ 3.92% (+0.04)
3-3 @ 1.02% (-94.49)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 17.69%
Liverpool
1-2 @ 3.72% (+0.23)
0-1 @ 3.53% (+0.16)
0-2 @ 1.59% (+0.13)
2-3 @ 1.3% (+0.11)
1-3 @ 1.12% (+0.11)
Other @ 1.57%
Total : 12.83%

Head to Head

Copa Libertadores
Apr 5, 2024 1.00am
1
1
HT : 0 2
FT Estadio Centenario del Club Atletico Sarmiento
  • Luciano Rodriguez 11' yellowcard
  • Luciano Rodriguez 11' yellowcard
  • Luciano Rodriguez 79' goal
  • Luciano Rodriguez 79' goal
  • Enzo Martinez 81' redcard
  • Enzo Martinez 81' redcard
  • goal Julio Ortiz 8'
  • goal Julio Ortiz 8'
  • yellowcard Patrik Kleiver Mercado Altamirano 30'
  • yellowcard Patrik Mercado 30'
  • yellowcard Cristian Zabala 53'
  • yellowcard Cristian Zabala 53'
Copa Libertadores
May 24, 2023 11.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Ruben Bentancourt 65' goal
Copa Libertadores
Apr 19, 2023 3.00am
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Junior Sornoza 27' goal
  • Alan Steve Minda Garcia 67' goal
  • Alan Minda 67' goal