Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 1
Jun 9, 2024 at 10pm UK
Estadio Monumental Luis Troccoli

Cerro
3 - 0
Nacional

Ramirez (14'), Petillo Mediza (84'), Gonzalez (88')
Berrios (76')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Santander (65'), Izquierdo (67'), Castro (69')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Cerro and Nacional.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cerro

All competitions
Last Game: Liverpool 0-3 Cerro
Monday, June 3 at 4.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Nacional

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Boston River 1-3 Nacional
Tuesday, June 4 at 11pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 53.1%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Cerro had a probability of 20.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.03%) and 1-2 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.11%), while for a Cerro win it was 1-0 (8.12%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.

Result
CerroDrawNacional
20.61% (-0.254 -0.25)26.28% (0.175 0.18)53.1% (0.073999999999998 0.07)
Both teams to score 43.33% (-0.77 -0.77)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.67% (-0.839 -0.84)59.32% (0.834 0.83)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.28% (-0.651 -0.65)79.72% (0.646 0.65)
Cerro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.91% (-0.762 -0.76)44.09% (0.757 0.76)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.8% (-0.63 -0.63)80.19% (0.625 0.63)
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.5% (-0.321 -0.32)22.5% (0.315 0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.94% (-0.479 -0.48)56.06% (0.474 0.47)
Score Analysis
    Cerro 20.61%
    Nacional 53.09%
    Draw 26.27%
CerroDrawNacional
1-0 @ 8.12% (0.086 0.09)
2-1 @ 4.96% (-0.099 -0.1)
2-0 @ 3.33% (-0.034 -0.03)
3-1 @ 1.36% (-0.056 -0.06)
3-2 @ 1.01% (-0.053 -0.05)
3-0 @ 0.91% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 20.61%
1-1 @ 12.11% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 9.92% (0.308 0.31)
2-2 @ 3.7% (-0.11 -0.11)
Other @ 0.54%
Total : 26.27%
0-1 @ 14.79% (0.32 0.32)
0-2 @ 11.03% (0.14 0.14)
1-2 @ 9.04% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
0-3 @ 5.49% (0.016 0.02)
1-3 @ 4.49% (-0.081 -0.08)
0-4 @ 2.05% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.84% (-0.073 -0.07)
1-4 @ 1.68% (-0.047 -0.05)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 53.09%

How you voted: Cerro vs Nacional

Cerro
0.0%
Draw
20.0%
Nacional
80.0%
5
Head to Head
Apr 28, 2024 10pm
Gameweek 10
Cerro
1-2
Nacional
Macelli (61')
Abero (36'), Rodriguez (90+6')
Carneiro (40' pen.), Oliva (70')
Antoni (60'), Oliva (75')
Oct 15, 2023 10.30pm
Gameweek 5
Nacional
2-1
Cerro
Rodriguez (17'), Gigliotti (70')
Lozano (10'), Martinez (33')
Rodriguez (12')
Rodriguez (25'), Coronel (31'), Tizon (43'), Abero (51'), Fernandez (67')
Jun 3, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 1
Cerro
1-1
Nacional
Nandin (1')
Perez (45+1'), Denis (83'), Souza (90+3')
Pereiro (79')
Rodriguez (18'), Pereiro (79')
Mar 4, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 5
Cerro
2-2
Nacional
Rodriguez (19'), Abero (67')
Trezza (11'), Pereiro (70')
Feb 27, 2021 10.30pm
Gameweek 10
Cerro
0-1
Nacional

Garcia (43'), Cabrera (71'), Bentaberry (75')
Bergessio (51')
Martinez (20'), Trezza (32'), Mendez (48'), Rochet (75'), Ocampo (76')