Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 14

May 26, 2024 at 7pm UK

Estadio Luis Franzini

Defensor
3 - 1
Cerro Largo

Bautista Viacava Caviglia (10'), Rivero (16'), Mansilla (45+1')
Soria (90+3')

FT(HT: 3-1)

Silveira (36' pen.)
Brasil (12'), Silveira (48'), Correa (54'), Santilli (74'), Furtado (79'), Estol (86'), Acosta (90+2')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Defensor Sporting and Cerro Largo.

Form, Standings, Stats

Defensor Sporting

All competitions

Last Game: Defensor 0-2 Penarol
Saturday, May 18 at 10pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Goals
for

Cerro Largo

All competitions

Last Game: Wanderers 1-0 Cerro Largo
Sunday, May 19 at 9.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensor Sporting win with a probability of 44.6%. A draw had a probability of 28.3% and a win for Cerro Largo had a probability of 27.14%.

The most likely scoreline for a Defensor Sporting win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.94%) and 2-1 (8.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.02%), while for a Cerro Largo win it was 0-1 (10.06%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Defensor Sporting would win this match.

Result
Defensor Sporting	Draw	Cerro Largo
44.6% ( -0.61)	28.25% ( 0.37)	27.14% ( 0.24)

Both teams to score 44.34% (

-0.81)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

38.75% (

-1.1)

61.25% (

1.1)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.82% (

-0.83)

81.18% (

0.83)

Defensor Sporting Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.6% (

-0.82)

27.4% (

0.83)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.13% (

-1.08)

62.87% (

1.08)

Cerro Largo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.07% (

-0.41)

38.93% (

0.41)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.35% (

-0.39)

75.65% (

0.39)

Score Analysis

Defensor Sporting 44.59%

Cerro Largo 27.14%

Draw 28.24%

Defensor Sporting	Draw	Cerro Largo
1-0 @ 13.8% ( 0.24) 2-0 @ 8.94% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 8.43% ( -0.14) 3-0 @ 3.86% ( -0.11) 3-1 @ 3.64% ( -0.15) 3-2 @ 1.72% ( -0.09) 4-0 @ 1.25% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 1.18% ( -0.08) Other @ 1.78% Total : 44.59%	1-1 @ 13.02% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 10.66% ( 0.43) 2-2 @ 3.98% ( -0.11) Other @ 0.58% Total : 28.24%	0-1 @ 10.06% ( 0.3) 1-2 @ 6.15% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 4.75% ( 0.09) 1-3 @ 1.93% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.49% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.25% ( -0.05) Other @ 1.51% Total : 27.14%