Copa Libertadores

Copa Libertadores | Round of 16 | 1st Leg

Aug 15, 2024 at 1.30am UK

Estadio Nilton Santos

Botafogo
2 - 1
Palmeiras

Henrique (22', 22'), Jesus (39', 39')
Jesus (49'), Jesus (49'), Cuiabano (64'), Cuiabano (64'), Tiquinho (90'), Tiquinho (90')

FT(HT: 4-2)

Mauricio (33', 33')
Manuel Lopez (29'), Manuel Lopez (29'), Veiga (37'), Veiga (37'), Ferreira (65'), Ferreira (65'), Willian (90'), Willian (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Copa Libertadores clash between Botafogo and Palmeiras, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Botafogo

All competitions

Copa Libertadores

Last Game: Juventude 3-2 Botafogo
Sunday, August 11 at 3pm in Brasileiro

Goals
for

Palmeiras

All competitions

Copa Libertadores

Last Game: Flamengo 1-1 Palmeiras
Sunday, August 11 at 8pm in Brasileiro

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Botafogo win with a probability of 38.88%. A win for Palmeiras had a probability of 33.36% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Botafogo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.15%) and 2-0 (7.2%). The likeliest Palmeiras win was 0-1 (10.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Botafogo would win this match.

Result
Botafogo	Draw	Palmeiras
38.88% ( -0.42)	27.75% ( 0.08)	33.36% ( 0.34)

Both teams to score 48.28% (

-0.16)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.46% (

-0.24)

57.53% (

0.23)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.68% (

-0.19)

78.32% (

0.19)

Botafogo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.23% (

-0.35)

28.77% (

0.35)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.39% (

-0.44)

64.61% (

0.44)

Palmeiras Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.77% (

0.11)

32.22% (

-0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.28% (

0.12)

68.71% (

-0.12)

Score Analysis

Botafogo 38.88%

Palmeiras 33.35%

Draw 27.74%

Botafogo	Draw	Palmeiras
1-0 @ 11.54% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.15% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 7.2% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 3.38% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 2.99% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 1.92% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.05% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 0.93% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.72% Total : 38.88%	1-1 @ 13.07% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 9.27% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 4.61% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.79% Total : 27.74%	0-1 @ 10.49% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 7.41% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 5.94% ( 0.09) 1-3 @ 2.8% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 2.24% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 1.74% ( -0) Other @ 2.73% Total : 33.35%

How you voted: Botafogo vs Palmeiras

Botafogo

59.1%

Draw

36.4%

Palmeiras

4.5%

Head to Head

Jul 18, 2024 1.30am

Gameweek 17

Botafogo

1-0

Palmeiras

Tiquinho (56')
Barboza (4'), Suarez (73')

> Preview

Nov 2, 2023 12.30am

Gameweek 31

Botafogo

3-4

Palmeiras

Eduardo (21'), Tche (30'), Santos (36')
Flavio (0'), Cuesta (33'), Tiquinho (69'), Tche (80'), Marcal (83'), Freitas (90+7'), Di Placido (90+9')
Adryelson (76')

Endrick (49', 84'), Manuel Lopez (89'), Cerqueira (90+9')
Mayke (11'), Rony (80'), Gomez (80'), Artur (87'), Cerqueira (90+10')

Jun 25, 2023 8pm

Gameweek 12

Palmeiras

0-1

Botafogo

Ferreira (45+7')

Tiquinho (28')
Tche (31'), da Silva (61'), Nascimento (90+5')

> Preview

Oct 4, 2022 12am

Gameweek 29

Botafogo