/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F14%2Fbahlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F34%2Fbotlog.png)
-
Rafael Ratao
18'
-
Caio Alexandre
80'
-
Luciano Rodriguez
87'
-
Luciano Rodriguez
88'
-
Everton Ribeiro
90'+3'
-
Rafael Ratao
90'+6'
-
Thiago Almada
17'
-
Gregore
45'+3'
-
<TBD>
57'
-
Alexander Barboza
77'
-
Bastos
90'+4'
Bahia vs Botafogo - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F21%2FJean%20Lucas.jpg)
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bahia win with a probability of 48.88%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Botafogo had a probability of 24.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bahia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.71%) and 2-1 (8.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.53%), while for a Botafogo win it was 0-1 (8.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Bahia in this match.
Result
Bahia
48.88%
▲
(+0.01)
Draw
26.8%
▼
(-0.01)
Botafogo
24.32%
▼
(-0.01)
Both Teams to Score:
46.02%
▲
(+0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5
42.01%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 2.5
57.99%
▼
(-0.01)
Over 3.5
21.32%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 3.5
78.68%
▼
(-0.01)
Over 4.5
9.11%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 4.5
90.89%
▼
(-0.01)
Bahia Goals
Over 0.5
76.18%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 0.5
23.82%
▼
(-0.01)
Over 1.5
42.01%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 1.5
57.99%
▼
(-0.01)
Botafogo Goals
Over 0.5
60.4%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 0.5
39.6%
▲
(+0.01)
Over 1.5
23.72%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 1.5
76.28%
▲
(+0.01)
Score analysis
Bahia
48.88%
Draw
26.8%
Botafogo
24.32%
Bahia
1-0
@
13.53%
2-0 @ 9.71% ▲ (+0.01)
2-1 @ 8.99% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 4.64% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 4.3% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 1.99%
4-0 @ 1.67% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 1.54% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 48.88%
2-0 @ 9.71% ▲ (+0.01)
2-1 @ 8.99% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 4.64% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 4.3% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 1.99%
4-0 @ 1.67% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 1.54% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 48.88%
Draw
1-1
@
12.53%
0-0 @ 9.43% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 4.17% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 26.8%
0-0 @ 9.43% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 4.17% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 26.8%
Botafogo
0-1
@
8.74%
▼
(-0.01)
1-2 @ 5.81% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 4.05% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 1.79% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.29%
0-3 @ 1.25%
Other @ 1.4%
Total : 24.32%
1-2 @ 5.81% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 4.05% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 1.79% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.29%
0-3 @ 1.25%
Other @ 1.4%
Total : 24.32%