Fluminense
Brasileiro | Gameweek 21
Aug 4, 2024 at 8pm UK
Estadio Jornalista Mario Filho
Bahia

Fluminense
1 - 0
Bahia

Elias Nogueira (14', 45')
Barbosa (25'), Thiago (36'), Silva (62')
FT(HT: 2-0)

de Pena (84'), Oliveira Souza (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Brasileiro clash between Fluminense and Bahia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fluminense

All competitions
Brasileiro
Last Game: Juventude 3-2 Fluminense
Thursday, August 1 at 11pm in Copa do Brasil

Bahia

All competitions
Brasileiro
Last Game: Botafogo 1-1 Bahia
Wednesday, July 31 at 1.30am in Copa do Brasil

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fluminense win with a probability of 44.83%. A win for Bahia had a probability of 30.24% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fluminense win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.18%) and 2-0 (7.42%). The likeliest Bahia win was 0-1 (7.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Fluminense in this match.

Result
FluminenseDrawBahia
44.83% (-0.122 -0.12)24.93% (0.079999999999998 0.08)30.24% (0.041999999999998 0.04)
Both teams to score 56.04% (-0.245 -0.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.96% (-0.332 -0.33)47.04% (0.331 0.33)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.72% (-0.312 -0.31)69.28% (0.31 0.31)
Fluminense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.97% (-0.19199999999999 -0.19)21.03% (0.192 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.18% (-0.3 -0.3)53.82% (0.3 0.3)
Bahia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.97% (-0.13800000000001 -0.14)29.03% (0.139 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.06% (-0.172 -0.17)64.94% (0.172 0.17)
Score Analysis
    Fluminense 44.83%
    Bahia 30.24%
    Draw 24.93%
FluminenseDrawBahia
1-0 @ 9.52% (0.075999999999999 0.08)
2-1 @ 9.18% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
2-0 @ 7.42% (0.016 0.02)
3-1 @ 4.77% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-0 @ 3.86% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.95% (-0.034 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.86% (-0.025 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.5% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.15% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 44.83%
1-1 @ 11.77% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
0-0 @ 6.11% (0.085 0.09)
2-2 @ 5.68% (-0.031 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.22% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.93%
0-1 @ 7.55% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
1-2 @ 7.28% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 4.67% (0.029 0.03)
1-3 @ 3% (-0.01 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.34% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.93% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
1-4 @ 0.93% (-0.007 -0.01)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 30.24%

How you voted: Fluminense vs Bahia

Fluminense
65.6%
Draw
25.0%
Bahia
9.4%
32
Head to Head
Apr 17, 2024 1.30am
Gameweek 2
Bahia
2-1
Fluminense
Alexandre (34'), Oliveira Souza (61')
Alexandre (20'), Thaciano (40'), Ribeiro (54'), Ganso (89')
Cano (4')
Lima (47'), Martinelli (51'), Kennedy (70'), Alexsander (77'), Stum (88')
Oct 31, 2023 10pm
Gameweek 31
Bahia
1-0
Fluminense
Stum (40')
Gilberto (48'), Kanu (90')

Thiago (21'), Barros (22'), Fernandez (90+2'), Braz (90')
Jun 24, 2023 10.30pm
Gameweek 12
Fluminense
2-1
Bahia
Lele (49'), Pirani (51')
Xavier (45+7')
Nino (37')
Mingotti (28')
> Preview
Dec 5, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 37
Bahia
2-0
Fluminense
Gilberto (39' pen., 45+2')
Gilberto (73'), Capixaba (86')
Rossi (66')

Claro (37'), Martins (62'), Yago (70'), Fred (72'), Bobadilla (90+2')
Manoel (66')
> Preview
Aug 30, 2021 11pm
Gameweek 18
Fluminense
2-0
Bahia
Lucca (36'), Bobadilla (90+7')
Nino (41'), Andre (45+1')

Rossi (29'), de Lucca (35'), Gilberto (77'), Conti (90+6')
> Preview