Brasileiro
Gameweek
21
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-
Kaua Elias Nogueira
14'
-
Diogo Barbosa
25'
-
Thiago
36'
-
Kaua Elias Nogueira
45'
-
Thiago Silva
62'
-
Carlos de Pena
84'
-
Cauly Oliveira Souza
90'+2'
Fluminense vs Bahia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fluminense win with a probability of 44.83%. A win for Bahia had a probability of 30.24% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fluminense win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.18%) and 2-0 (7.42%). The likeliest Bahia win was 0-1 (7.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Fluminense in this match.
Result
Fluminense
44.83%
▼
(-0.13)
Draw
24.93%
▲
(+0.08)
Bahia
30.24%
▲
(+0.05)
Both Teams to Score:
56.04%
▼
(-0.25)
Goals
Over 2.5
52.96%
▼
(-0.34)
Under 2.5
47.04%
▲
(+0.34)
Over 3.5
30.72%
▼
(-0.32)
Under 3.5
69.28%
▲
(+0.32)
Over 4.5
15.17%
▼
(-0.23)
Under 4.5
84.83%
▲
(+0.22)
Fluminense Goals
Over 0.5
78.97%
▼
(-0.20)
Under 0.5
21.03%
▲
(+0.20)
Over 1.5
46.18%
▼
(-0.30)
Under 1.5
53.82%
▲
(+0.30)
Bahia Goals
Over 0.5
70.97%
▼
(-0.14)
Under 0.5
29.03%
▲
(+0.14)
Over 1.5
35.06%
▼
(-0.18)
Under 1.5
64.94%
▲
(+0.18)
Score analysis
Fluminense
44.83%
Draw
24.93%
Bahia
30.24%
Fluminense
1-0
@
9.52%
▲
(+0.08)
2-1 @ 9.18% ▼ (-0.02)
2-0 @ 7.42% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 4.77% ▼ (-0.04)
3-0 @ 3.86% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.95% ▼ (-0.04)
4-1 @ 1.86% ▼ (-0.03)
4-0 @ 1.5% ▼ (-0.02)
4-2 @ 1.15% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 44.83%
2-1 @ 9.18% ▼ (-0.02)
2-0 @ 7.42% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 4.77% ▼ (-0.04)
3-0 @ 3.86% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.95% ▼ (-0.04)
4-1 @ 1.86% ▼ (-0.03)
4-0 @ 1.5% ▼ (-0.02)
4-2 @ 1.15% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 44.83%
Draw
1-1
@
11.77%
▲
(+0.05)
0-0 @ 6.11% ▲ (+0.09)
2-2 @ 5.68% ▼ (-0.04)
3-3 @ 1.22% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.93%
0-0 @ 6.11% ▲ (+0.09)
2-2 @ 5.68% ▼ (-0.04)
3-3 @ 1.22% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.93%
Bahia
0-1
@
7.55%
▲
(+0.08)
1-2 @ 7.28% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 4.67% ▲ (+0.03)
1-3 @ 3% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.34% ▼ (-0.03)
0-3 @ 1.93% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.48%
Total : 30.24%
1-2 @ 7.28% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 4.67% ▲ (+0.03)
1-3 @ 3% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.34% ▼ (-0.03)
0-3 @ 1.93% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.48%
Total : 30.24%
Head to Head
Brasileiro
Gameweek
2
-
Caio Alexandre
20'
-
Caio Alexandre
20'
-
Caio Alexandre
34'
-
Caio Alexandre
34'
-
Thaciano
40'
-
Thaciano
40'
-
Everton Ribeiro
54'
-
Everton Ribeiro
54'
-
Cauly Oliveira Souza
61'
-
Cauly Oliveira Souza
61'
-
Ganso
89'
-
Ganso
89'
-
German Cano
4'
-
German Cano
4'
-
Vinicius Lima
47'
-
Vinicius Lima
47'
-
Martinelli
51'
-
Martinelli
51'
-
John Kennedy
70'
-
John Kennedy
70'
-
Alexsander
77'
-
Alexsander
77'
-
Everaldo Stum
88'
-
Everaldo Stum
88'
Brasileiro
Gameweek
31
-
Everaldo Stum
40'
-
Gilberto
48'
-
Kanu
90'
-
Thiago
21'
-
Eduardo Barros
22'
-
David Braz
90'
-
Leonardo Fernandez
90'+2'
Brasileiro
Gameweek
12
-
Lele
49'
-
Gabriel Pirani
51'
-
Vinicius Mingotti
28'
Brasileiro
Gameweek
37
-
Gilberto
39'
-
Gilberto
45'+2'
-
Rossi
66'
-
Gilberto
73'
-
Juninho Capixaba
86'
-
Luccas Claro
37'
-
Wellington Martins
62'
-
Manoel
66'
-
Yago
70'
-
Fred
72'
-
Raul Bobadilla
90'+2'
Brasileiro
Gameweek
18
-
Lucca
36'
-
Nino
41'
-
Andre
45'+1'
-
Raul Bobadilla
90'+7'
-
Rossi
29'
-
Patrick de Lucca
35'
-
Gilberto
77'
-
German Conti
90'+6'
Brasileiro
Gameweek
34
-
Juninho Capixaba
30'
-
Nino
17'
-
Luiz Henrique
33'