Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cuiaba win with a probability of 44.6%. A draw had a probability of 27.8% and a win for Fluminense had a probability of 27.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cuiaba win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.77%) and 2-1 (8.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.95%), while for a Fluminense win it was 0-1 (9.79%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.