Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Corinthians win with a probability of 45.65%. A win for Bragantino had a probability of 28.19% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Corinthians win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.07%) and 2-0 (8.34%). The likeliest Bragantino win was 0-1 (8.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.