Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vasco da Gama win with a probability of 36.75%. A win for Bragantino had a probability of 36.33% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vasco da Gama win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.07%) and 2-0 (6.44%). The likeliest Bragantino win was 0-1 (10.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.

Result
Vasco da Gama	Draw	Bragantino
36.75% ( -0.77)	26.92%	36.33% ( 0.77)

Both teams to score 51.18% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.96% (

0.02)

54.04% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.53% (

0.02)

75.47% (

-0.02)

Vasco da Gama Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.66% (

-0.44)

28.33% (

0.44)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.93% (

-0.56)

64.07% (

0.57)

Bragantino Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.41% (

0.48)

28.58% (

-0.48)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.62% (

0.6)

64.38% (

-0.6)

Score Analysis

Vasco da Gama 36.74%

Bragantino 36.33%

Draw 26.92%

Vasco da Gama	Draw	Bragantino
1-0 @ 10.21% ( -0.14) 2-1 @ 8.07% ( -0.1) 2-0 @ 6.44% ( -0.17) 3-1 @ 3.39% ( -0.09) 3-0 @ 2.71% ( -0.11) 3-2 @ 2.12% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.07% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.74% Total : 36.74%	1-1 @ 12.79% 0-0 @ 8.1% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.05% ( 0) Other @ 0.98% Total : 26.92%	0-1 @ 10.14% ( 0.13) 1-2 @ 8.01% ( 0.11) 0-2 @ 6.35% ( 0.16) 1-3 @ 3.34% ( 0.09) 0-3 @ 2.65% ( 0.1) 2-3 @ 2.11% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 1.05% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.68% Total : 36.33%