Copa do Brasil | Round of 16 | 1st Leg
Aug 1, 2024 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Antonio Accioly
Vasco da Gama

Atletico GO
1 - 1
Vasco

Rodriguez (7', 7')
Maguinho (32'), Maguinho (32'), Baralhas (43'), Baralhas (43'), Martins (72'), Martins (72'), Rhaldney (79'), Rhaldney (79'), Freitas (90+8'), Freitas (90+8')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Vegetti (88', 88')
Henrique (67'), Henrique (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Copa do Brasil clash between Atletico Goianiense and Vasco da Gama, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atletico Goianiense

All competitions
Copa do Brasil
Last Game: Flamengo 2-0 Atletico GO
Sunday, July 28 at 8pm in Brasileiro

Vasco da Gama

All competitions
Copa do Brasil
Last Game: Gremio 1-0 Vasco
Sunday, July 28 at 11pm in Brasileiro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Goianiense win with a probability of 47.04%. A win for Vasco da Gama had a probability of 27.18% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Goianiense win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.22%) and 2-0 (8.55%). The likeliest Vasco da Gama win was 0-1 (8.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.

Result
Atletico GoianienseDrawVasco da Gama
47.04% (0.020000000000003 0.02)25.78% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)27.18% (-0.016000000000002 -0.02)
Both teams to score 51.32% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.72% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)52.28% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.02% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)73.98% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Atletico Goianiense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.78% (0.013000000000005 0.01)22.22% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.36% (0.018999999999998 0.02)55.64% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Vasco da Gama Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.98% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)34.02% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.3% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)70.7% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Atletico Goianiense 47.03%
    Vasco da Gama 27.18%
    Draw 25.77%
Atletico GoianienseDrawVasco da Gama
1-0 @ 11.36%
2-1 @ 9.22% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-0 @ 8.55% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-1 @ 4.62% (0.0029999999999992 0)
3-0 @ 4.29% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 2.49% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.74% (0.002 0)
4-0 @ 1.61% (0.002 0)
4-2 @ 0.94%
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 47.03%
1-1 @ 12.25% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.56% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-2 @ 4.97%
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 25.77%
0-1 @ 8.15% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
1-2 @ 6.61% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 4.39% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 2.38% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 1.79%
0-3 @ 1.58% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 27.18%

How you voted: Atletico GO vs Vasco

Atletico Goianiense
31.3%
Draw
37.5%
Vasco da Gama
31.3%
16
Head to Head
Jul 17, 2024 11pm
Gameweek 17
Atletico GO
0-1
Vasco

Martins (16'), Janderson (32')
David (51')
Moura (30'), Carvalho (45'), Rayan (74')
> Preview
Jan 8, 2021 12am
Gameweek 28
Atletico GO
0-0
Vasco
Sep 11, 2020 1am
Gameweek 9
Vasco
1-2
Atletico GO
Paiva (51')
Victor (44')