Brasileiro Gameweek 20
Jul 28, 2024 11.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Arena do Gremio
  • Cristian Pavon 45'+7' yellowcard
  • Yeferson Soteldo 57' goal
  • Douglas Moreira 68' yellowcard
  • Walter Kannemann 69' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Matheus Carvalho 1'
  • yellowcard Lucas Piton 35'
  • yellowcard David 69'
  • yellowcard Paulo Henrique 79'

Gremio vs Vasco da Gama - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Gremio

All competitions
Last game
Jul 26, 2024 12.00am
Corinthians 2 - 2 Gremio
Goals scored
44
Top scorer
Martin Braithwaite

Vasco da Gama

All competitions
Last game
Jul 21, 2024 8.00pm
Atletico Mineiro 2 - 0 Vasco
Goals scored
43
Top scorer
Pablo Vegetti

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gremio win with a probability of 53.3%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Vasco da Gama had a probability of 21.57%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gremio win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.36%) and 2-1 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.87%), while for a Vasco da Gama win it was 0-1 (7.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Gremio in this match.

Result

Gremio 53.3% (+0.08)
Draw 25.13% (-0.04)
Vasco da Gama 21.57% (-0.05)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.62% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5 45.68% (+0.07)
Under 2.5 54.32% (-0.08)
Over 3.5 24.29% (+0.06)
Under 3.5 75.7% (-0.07)
Over 4.5 10.91% (+0.04)
Under 4.5 89.08% (-0.04)

Gremio Goals

Over 0.5 79.62% (+0.06)
Under 0.5 20.37% (-0.07)
Over 1.5 47.21% (+0.10)
Under 1.5 52.78% (-0.10)

Vasco da Gama Goals

Over 0.5 59.8% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 40.19% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 23.17% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 76.82% (+0.01)

Score analysis

Gremio 53.29%
Draw 25.12%
Vasco da Gama 21.57%
Gremio
1-0 @ 13.02% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 10.36% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 9.45% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 5.5% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 5.01% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.28% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 2.19% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 1.99% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.5%
Total : 53.29%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.87% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 8.19% (-0.03)
2-2 @ 4.31% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 25.12%
Vasco da Gama
0-1 @ 7.46% (-0.03)
1-2 @ 5.41% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 3.4% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 1.64% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.31% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.03% (-0.01)
Other @ 1.31%
Total : 21.57%

Head to Head

Brasileiro Gameweek 1
Apr 14, 2024 8.00pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio Club de Regatas Vasco da Gama
  • Rossi 17' yellowcard
  • David 24' goal
  • Matheus Carvalho 37' goal
  • Ramon Diaz 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Juan Sforza 65' yellowcard
  • Joao Victor 90'+6' yellowcard
  • Lucas Piton 90'+8' yellowcard
  • goal Gustavo Martins 68'
  • yellowcard Leo Pele 90'+1'
Brasileiro Gameweek 37
Dec 3, 2023 9.30pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Arena do Gremio
  • Rodrigo Ely 35' goal
  • Luis Suarez 46' goal
  • Gustavo Martins 48' yellowcard
  • Bruno Alves 45'+5' yellowcard
  • Nathan 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Marlon Gomes 75'
Brasileiro Gameweek 18
Aug 6, 2023 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Club de Regatas Vasco da Gama
  • Bruno Praxedes 47' yellowcard
  • Pablo Vegetti 80' goal
  • yellowcard Reinaldo 45'
Brasileiro Gameweek 24
Dec 6, 2020 7.00pm
4
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Diego Souza 41' goal
  • Diego Souza 53' goal
  • Cesar Pinares 55' goal
  • Diego Souza 58' yellowcard
  • Lucas Silva 88' yellowcard
  • Lucas Silva 90'+2' goal
  • yellowcard Leo Matos 62'
Brasileiro Gameweek 5
Aug 23, 2020 8.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Henrique 13' yellowcard
  • Martin Benitez 37' yellowcard
  • Cayo Tenorio 74' yellowcard
  • Andrey 86' yellowcard
  • Ribamar 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Matheus Henrique 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Thaciano 81'
Brasileiro Gameweek 29
Oct 31, 2019 12.30am
1
3
HT : 1 1
FT Estádio Club de Regatas Vasco da Gama (Rio de Janeiro, Rio de Janeiro)
  • Fredy Guarin 10' goal
  • Marrony 12' yellowcard
  • Leandro Castan 67' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Michel 27'
  • goal Pepe 33'
  • goal Everton 54'
  • goal Luciano 68'
  • yellowcard Bruno Cortez 70'