Gremio
Brasileiro | Gameweek 20
Jul 28, 2024 at 11pm UK
Arena do Gremio
Vasco da Gama

Gremio
1 - 0
Vasco

Soteldo (57')
Pavon (45+7'), Moreira (68'), Kannemann (69')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Carvalho (1'), Piton (35'), David (69'), Henrique (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Brasileiro clash between Gremio and Vasco da Gama, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Gremio

All competitions
Brasileiro
Last Game: Corinthians 2-2 Gremio
Friday, July 26 at 12am in Brasileiro

Vasco da Gama

All competitions
Last Game: Atletico Mineiro 2-0 Vasco
Sunday, July 21 at 8pm in Brasileiro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gremio win with a probability of 53.3%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Vasco da Gama had a probability of 21.57%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gremio win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.36%) and 2-1 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.87%), while for a Vasco da Gama win it was 0-1 (7.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Gremio in this match.

Result
GremioDrawVasco da Gama
53.3% (0.073999999999998 0.07)25.13% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)21.57% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)
Both teams to score 47.62% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.68% (0.069000000000003 0.07)54.32% (-0.071999999999996 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.29% (0.056999999999999 0.06)75.7% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)
Gremio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.62% (0.058000000000007 0.06)20.37% (-0.061 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.21% (0.091999999999999 0.09)52.78% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09)
Vasco da Gama Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.8% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)40.19% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.17% (-0.004999999999999 -0)76.82% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Score Analysis
    Gremio 53.29%
    Vasco da Gama 21.57%
    Draw 25.12%
GremioDrawVasco da Gama
1-0 @ 13.02% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 10.36% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.45% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-0 @ 5.5% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
3-1 @ 5.01% (0.012 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.28% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-0 @ 2.19% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.99% (0.008 0.01)
4-2 @ 0.91% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 53.29%
1-1 @ 11.87% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.19% (-0.023 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.31% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 25.12%
0-1 @ 7.46% (-0.022 -0.02)
1-2 @ 5.41% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.4% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.64% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.31% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 1.03% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 1.31%
Total : 21.57%

How you voted: Gremio vs Vasco

Gremio
38.1%
Draw
33.3%
Vasco da Gama
28.6%
21
Head to Head
Apr 14, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 1
Vasco
2-1
Gremio
David (24'), Carvalho (37')
Rossi (17'), Diaz (45+1'), Sforza (65'), Victor (90+6'), Piton (90+8')
Martins (68')
Pele (90+1')
Dec 3, 2023 9.30pm
Gameweek 37
Gremio
1-0
Vasco
Suarez (46')
Alves (45+5'), Martins (48'), Nathan (90+2')

Gomes (75')
Aug 6, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 18
Vasco
1-0
Gremio
Vegetti (80')
Praxedes (47')

Reinaldo (45')
Dec 6, 2020 7pm
Gameweek 24
Gremio
4-0
Vasco
Souza (41', 53'), Pinares (55'), Silva (90+2' pen.)
Souza (58'), Silva (88')

Matos (62')
Aug 23, 2020 8pm
Gameweek 5
Vasco
0-0
Gremio
Henrique (13'), Benitez (37'), Tenorio (74'), Andrey (86'), Ribamar (90')
Henrique (45+2'), Thaciano (81')