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/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F14%2Fparlog.png "Athletico Paranaense")
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F10%2Fbralog.png "Bragantino")
Athletico PR2 - 0Bragantino
Evangelista (62')
Form, Standings, Stats
Sunday, July 28 at 11pm in Brasileiro
for
Sunday, July 28 at 3pm in Brasileiro
for
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 52.65%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Bragantino had a probability of 22.77%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.7%) and 2-1 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.69%), while for a Bragantino win it was 0-1 (7.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Athletico Paranaense would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Athletico Paranaense | Draw | Bragantino |
52.65% ( -0) | 24.59% ( 0) | 22.77% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 50.67% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.96% | 51.05% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.1% | 72.91% ( 0) |
| Athletico Paranaense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.65% | 19.35% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.86% ( -0) | 51.14% ( 0.01) |
| Bragantino Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.83% ( 0.01) | 37.17% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.04% ( 0) | 73.96% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Athletico Paranaense | Draw | Bragantino |
| 1-0 @ 11.81% 2-0 @ 9.7% ( -0)2-1 @ 9.6% 3-0 @ 5.31% ( -0)3-1 @ 5.26% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.6% 4-0 @ 2.18% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.16% 4-2 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.96% Total : 52.64% | 1-1 @ 11.69% 0-0 @ 7.19% ( 0)2-2 @ 4.75% Other @ 0.95% Total : 24.59% | 0-1 @ 7.12% ( 0) 1-2 @ 5.79% ( 0)0-2 @ 3.52% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.91% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.57% 0-3 @ 1.16% Other @ 1.7% Total : 22.77% |
How you voted: Athletico PR vs Bragantino
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/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F06%2FGambleAware%20Secondary%20Main%20Grey.png "on February 3, 2024"){kind=small}