Copa Sudamericana | Round of 32 | 1st Leg

Jul 19, 2024 at 1.30am UK

Estadio General Pablo Rojas

Cerro Porteno
1 - 1
Athletico PR

(Athletico Paranaense win 3-2 on aggregate)

Benitez (33', 33')
Piris (45+8'), Piris (45+8'), Baez (63'), Baez (63'), Gimenez (71'), Gimenez (71')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Christian (69', 69')
Godoy (45+4'), Julimar (45+4'), Godoy (45+4'), Julimar (45+4'), Christian (67'), Christian (67'), Pablo (82'), Pablo (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Copa Sudamericana clash between Cerro Porteno and Athletico Paranaense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cerro Porteno

Last Game: Cerro Porteno 1-1 Colo-Colo
Thursday, May 30 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores

Athletico Paranaense

All competitions

Copa Sudamericana

Last Game: Athletico PR 3-0 Ypiranga Erechim
Saturday, July 13 at 10pm in Copa do Brasil

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 39.06%. A win for Cerro Porteno had a probability of 33.35% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.2%) and 0-2 (7.19%). The likeliest Cerro Porteno win was 1-0 (10.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.

Result
Cerro Porteno	Draw	Athletico Paranaense
33.35% ( 0.31)	27.6% ( 0.15)	39.06% ( -0.46)

Both teams to score 48.73% (

-0.39)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.04% (

-0.52)

56.96% (

0.53)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.13% (

-0.42)

77.87% (

0.43)

Cerro Porteno Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.06% (

-0.05)

31.94% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.6% (

-0.07)

68.4% (

0.07)

Athletico Paranaense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.61% (

-0.52)

28.39% (

0.52)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.86% (

-0.66)

64.14% (

0.66)

Score Analysis

Cerro Porteno 33.35%

Athletico Paranaense 39.05%

Draw 27.6%

Cerro Porteno	Draw	Athletico Paranaense
1-0 @ 10.35% ( 0.2) 2-1 @ 7.44% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 5.91% ( 0.1) 3-1 @ 2.83% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.25% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 1.78% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.8% Total : 33.35%	1-1 @ 13.03% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 9.07% ( 0.18) 2-2 @ 4.68% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.82% Total : 27.6%	0-1 @ 11.41% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 8.2% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 7.19% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 3.44% ( -0.09) 0-3 @ 3.02% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 1.96% ( -0.05) 1-4 @ 1.08% ( -0.04) 0-4 @ 0.95% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.79% Total : 39.05%