Copa Sudamericana
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F14%2Fparlog.png)
-
Miguel Benitez
33'
-
Miguel Benitez
33'
-
Robert Piris
45'+8'
-
Robert Piris
45'+8'
-
Cristian Baez
63'
-
Cristian Baez
63'
-
Enzo Gimenez
71'
-
Enzo Gimenez
71'
-
Leonardo Godoy
45'+4'
-
Julimar
45'+4'
-
Leonardo Godoy
45'+4'
-
Julimar
45'+4'
-
Christian
67'
-
Christian
67'
-
Christian
69'
-
Christian
69'
-
Pablo
82'
-
Pablo
82'
Cerro Porteno vs Athletico Paranaense - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F29%2FDiego%20Churin.jpg)
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 39.06%. A win for Cerro Porteno had a probability of 33.35% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.2%) and 0-2 (7.19%). The likeliest Cerro Porteno win was 1-0 (10.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.
Result
Cerro Porteno
33.35%
▲
(+0.32)
Draw
27.6%
▲
(+0.16)
Athletico Paranaense
39.06%
▼
(-0.47)
Both Teams to Score:
48.73%
▼
(-0.40)
Goals
Over 2.5
43.04%
▼
(-0.53)
Under 2.5
56.96%
▲
(+0.53)
Over 3.5
22.13%
▼
(-0.43)
Under 3.5
77.87%
▲
(+0.43)
Over 4.5
9.59%
▼
(-0.26)
Under 4.5
90.41%
▲
(+0.26)
Cerro Porteno Goals
Over 0.5
68.06%
▼
(-0.06)
Under 0.5
31.94%
▲
(+0.06)
Over 1.5
31.6%
▼
(-0.07)
Under 1.5
68.4%
▲
(+0.07)
Athletico Paranaense Goals
Over 0.5
71.61%
▼
(-0.52)
Under 0.5
28.39%
▲
(+0.52)
Over 1.5
35.86%
▼
(-0.66)
Under 1.5
64.14%
▲
(+0.66)
Score analysis
Cerro Porteno
33.35%
Draw
27.6%
Athletico Paranaense
39.05%
Cerro Porteno
1-0
@
10.35%
▲
(+0.20)
2-1 @ 7.44% ▲ (+0.02)
2-0 @ 5.91% ▲ (+0.10)
3-1 @ 2.83% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 2.25% ▲ (+0.04)
3-2 @ 1.78% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 33.35%
2-1 @ 7.44% ▲ (+0.02)
2-0 @ 5.91% ▲ (+0.10)
3-1 @ 2.83% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 2.25% ▲ (+0.04)
3-2 @ 1.78% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 33.35%
Draw
1-1
@
13.03%
▲
(+0.06)
0-0 @ 9.07% ▲ (+0.19)
2-2 @ 4.68% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 27.6%
0-0 @ 9.07% ▲ (+0.19)
2-2 @ 4.68% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 27.6%
Athletico Paranaense
0-1
@
11.41%
▲
(+0.07)
1-2 @ 8.2% ▼ (-0.09)
0-2 @ 7.19% ▼ (-0.07)
1-3 @ 3.44% ▼ (-0.09)
0-3 @ 3.02% ▼ (-0.08)
2-3 @ 1.96% ▼ (-0.06)
1-4 @ 1.08% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 39.05%
1-2 @ 8.2% ▼ (-0.09)
0-2 @ 7.19% ▼ (-0.07)
1-3 @ 3.44% ▼ (-0.09)
0-3 @ 3.02% ▼ (-0.08)
2-3 @ 1.96% ▼ (-0.06)
1-4 @ 1.08% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 39.05%