Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerro Porteno win with a probability of 37.6%. A win for Colo-Colo had a probability of 34.6% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cerro Porteno win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.99%) and 2-0 (6.9%). The likeliest Colo-Colo win was 0-1 (10.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.