Copa Libertadores

Copa Libertadores | Group Stage

May 30, 2024 at 1.30am UK

Estadio General Pablo Rojas

Cerro Porteno
1 - 1
Colo-Colo

Carrizo (35', 35')
Peralta (11'), Peralta (11'), De Jesus (57'), De Jesus (57')

FT(HT: 2-2)

Palacios (23' pen., 23' pen.)
Saldivia (17'), Saldivia (17'), Cortes (89'), Cortes (89'), Benegas (90+1'), Benegas (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Copa Libertadores clash between Cerro Porteno and Colo-Colo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cerro Porteno

Last Game: Fluminense 2-1 Cerro Porteno
Thursday, May 16 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores

Colo-Colo

Last Game: Alianza Lima 1-1 Colo-Colo
Thursday, May 16 at 1am in Copa Libertadores

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerro Porteno win with a probability of 37.6%. A win for Colo-Colo had a probability of 34.6% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cerro Porteno win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.99%) and 2-0 (6.9%). The likeliest Colo-Colo win was 0-1 (10.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.

Result
Cerro Porteno	Draw	Colo-Colo
37.6% ( -0.11)	27.8% ( -0.02)	34.6% ( 0.13)

Both teams to score 48.34% (

0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.46% (

0.08)

57.54% (

-0.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.67% (

0.07)

78.33% (

-0.07)

Cerro Porteno Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.47% (

-0.03)

29.52% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.46% (

-0.03)

65.54% (

0.02)

Colo-Colo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.59% (

0.13)

31.4% (

-0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.22% (

0.15)

67.78% (

-0.15)

Score Analysis

Cerro Porteno 37.6%

Colo-Colo 34.59%

Draw 27.8%

Cerro Porteno	Draw	Colo-Colo
1-0 @ 11.31% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 7.99% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 6.9% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 3.25% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.81% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.88% ( 0) 4-1 @ 0.99% ( -0) Other @ 2.47% Total : 37.6%	1-1 @ 13.1% 0-0 @ 9.27% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.63% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.8% Total : 27.8%	0-1 @ 10.73% 1-2 @ 7.59% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 6.22% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.93% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 2.4% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.79% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.94% Total : 34.59%