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Copa Libertadores

Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
May 16, 2024 at 1am UK
Estadio Alejandro Villanueva

Alianza Lima
1 - 1
Colo-Colo

Barcos (42', 42')
Garces (34'), Garces (34'), Pavez (78'), Pavez (78'), Rodriguez (90'), Rodriguez (90')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Vidal (78', 78')
Pizarro (32'), Pizarro (32'), Bolados (56'), Bolados (56'), Vidal (72'), Vidal (72'), Zanelatto (77'), Zanelatto (78')
Pizarro (65'), Pizarro (65'), Vidal (90+4'), Vidal (90+4')
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Alianza Lima and Colo-Colo.

Form, Standings, Stats

Alianza Lima

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Last Game: Alianza Lima 1-1 Cerro Porteno
Thursday, May 9 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
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Colo-Colo

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Last Game: Colo-Colo 0-1 Fluminense
Friday, May 10 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alianza Lima win with a probability of 44.08%. A win for Colo-Colo had a probability of 28.02% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Alianza Lima win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.65%) and 2-1 (8.53%). The likeliest Colo-Colo win was 0-1 (9.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.

Result
Alianza LimaDrawColo-Colo
44.08% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)27.89% (-0.0029999999999966 -0)28.02% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Both teams to score 45.84%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.38%59.62% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.05% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)79.95% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Alianza Lima Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.1% (0.0040000000000049 0)26.9% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.78% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)62.22% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Colo-Colo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.7% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)37.29% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.92% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)74.08% (0.0020000000000095 0)
Score Analysis
    Alianza Lima 44.08%
    Colo-Colo 28.02%
    Draw 27.88%
Alianza LimaDrawColo-Colo
1-0 @ 13.17%
2-0 @ 8.65% (0.0019999999999989 0)
2-1 @ 8.53% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 3.79% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 3.73% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 1.84%
4-0 @ 1.24%
4-1 @ 1.23%
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 44.08%
1-1 @ 12.99%
0-0 @ 10.03%
2-2 @ 4.21%
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 27.88%
0-1 @ 9.9% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-2 @ 6.41%
0-2 @ 4.88% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 2.11%
0-3 @ 1.6% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 1.38%
Other @ 1.75%
Total : 28.02%

Head to Head
Apr 24, 2024 1.30am
Group Stage
Colo-Colo
0-0
Alianza Lima
Bolados (32'), Gil (60'), Falcon (79'), Cepeda (84'), Vidal (90+4')
Garces (38'), Ramos (42'), Pablo Freytes (63'), Rodriguez (72')
May 6, 2022 3am
Group Stage
Alianza Lima
1-1
Colo-Colo
Aguirre (46')
Ramos (33'), Vilchez (43'), Lavandeira (72'), Cornejo (79'), Barcos (86')
Martin Lucero (22')
Pavez (55'), Opazo (57'), Falcon (61')
Apr 13, 2022 11pm
Group Stage
Colo-Colo
2-1
Alianza Lima
Martin Lucero (27'), Pavez (56')
Opazo (52'), Zaldivia (71'), Villanueva (85')
Benitez (69')
Rodriguez (75'), Rojas (82'), Miguez (90+3')