Copa do Brasil | Third Round | 1st Leg

Jul 13, 2024 at 10pm UK

Arena de Baixada

Athletico PR
3 - 0
Ypiranga Erechim

Fernandinho (25'), Julimar (47'), Di Yorio (90+6')
Zapelli (62'), Fernandinho (80'), Rocha (90+1')

FT(HT: 1-0)

de Araujo Pereira (14'), Carvalho de Oliveira (15'), Marques (31'), Carius (41'), da Silva Gomes dos Santos (59'), Uchoa (80'), Fonseca Ferreira (88')
Carvalho de Oliveira (0')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Copa do Brasil clash between Athletico Paranaense and Ypiranga Erechim, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Athletico Paranaense

All competitions

Last Game: Athletico PR 1-3 Bahia
Wednesday, July 10 at 11pm in Brasileiro

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 72.69%. A draw had a probability of 17.6% and a win for Ypiranga Erechim had a probability of 9.67%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.71%) and 3-0 (10.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.33%), while for a Ypiranga Erechim win it was 0-1 (3.8%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-0 win for Athletico Paranaense in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Athletico Paranaense.

Result
Athletico Paranaense	Draw	Ypiranga Erechim
72.69% ( -0.01)	17.64% ( 0)	9.67% ( 0)

Both teams to score 42.68% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.17% (

45.83%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.85% (

68.15% (

-0)

Athletico Paranaense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.83%

11.17% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

64.35% (

-0)

35.65% (

Ypiranga Erechim Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

48.05% (

0.01)

51.96% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

14.03% (

0.01)

85.98% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Athletico Paranaense 72.67%

Ypiranga Erechim 9.67%

Draw 17.64%

Athletico Paranaense	Draw	Ypiranga Erechim
2-0 @ 13.94% 1-0 @ 12.71% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 10.18% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.13% ( 0) 3-1 @ 6.67% 4-0 @ 5.58% ( -0) 4-1 @ 3.66% 5-0 @ 2.45% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.18% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.6% 4-2 @ 1.2% ( 0) Other @ 3.37% Total : 72.67%	1-1 @ 8.33% ( 0) 0-0 @ 5.8% 2-2 @ 2.99% ( 0) Other @ 0.52% Total : 17.64%	0-1 @ 3.8% ( 0) 1-2 @ 2.73% ( 0) 0-2 @ 1.24% ( 0) Other @ 1.9% Total : 9.67%