Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 36.77%. A win for Cuiaba had a probability of 34.91% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.76%) and 0-2 (6.84%). The likeliest Cuiaba win was 1-0 (11.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Athletico Paranaense would win this match.

Result
Cuiaba	Draw	Athletico Paranaense
34.91% ( -1.2)	28.32% ( 0.25)	36.77% ( 0.94)

Both teams to score 46.82% (

-0.79)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.56% (

-0.96)

59.43% (

0.96)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.19% (

-0.75)

79.81% (

0.74)

Cuiaba Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.83% (

-1.26)

32.16% (

1.25)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.35% (

-1.45)

68.65% (

1.45)

Athletico Paranaense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.03% (

0.11)

30.97% (

-0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.72% (

0.13)

67.28% (

-0.13)

Score Analysis

Cuiaba 34.91%

Athletico Paranaense 36.77%

Draw 28.31%

Cuiaba	Draw	Athletico Paranaense
1-0 @ 11.3% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 7.51% ( -0.23) 2-0 @ 6.41% ( -0.21) 3-1 @ 2.84% ( -0.19) 3-0 @ 2.42% ( -0.17) 3-2 @ 1.66% ( -0.11) Other @ 2.76% Total : 34.91%	1-1 @ 13.24% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 9.96% ( 0.35) 2-2 @ 4.4% ( -0.12) Other @ 0.71% Total : 28.31%	0-1 @ 11.67% ( 0.45) 1-2 @ 7.76% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 6.84% ( 0.28) 1-3 @ 3.03% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 2.67% ( 0.12) 2-3 @ 1.72% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.07% Total : 36.77%