Athletico Paranaense
Copa Sudamericana | Round of 32 | 2nd Leg
Jul 26, 2024 at 1.30am UK
Alinja Arena

Athletico PR
2 - 1
Cerro Porteno

Mastriani (3', 3'), Cuello (59', 59')
Fernandinho (22'), Fernandinho (22'), Zapelli (26'), Zapelli (26')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Fernandez (68', 68')
Benitez (30'), Benitez (30'), Ramon Cabanas (71'), Ramon Cabanas (71')
Ramon Cabanas (83'), Ramon Cabanas (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Copa Sudamericana clash between Athletico Paranaense and Cerro Porteno, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Athletico Paranaense

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Bragantino 1-0 Athletico PR
Sunday, July 21 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro

Cerro Porteno

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Cerro Porteno 1-1 Athletico PR
Friday, July 19 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 70.53%. A draw had a probability of 18% and a win for Cerro Porteno had a probability of 11.47%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.06%) and 2-1 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.55%), while for a Cerro Porteno win it was 0-1 (3.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Athletico Paranaense would win this match.

Result
Athletico ParanaenseDrawCerro Porteno
70.53% (-0.366 -0.37)17.99% (0.204 0.2)11.47% (0.163 0.16)
Both teams to score 48.04% (-0.148 -0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.75% (-0.48699999999999 -0.49)42.25% (0.489 0.49)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.35% (-0.491 -0.49)64.65% (0.492 0.49)
Athletico Paranaense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.25% (-0.22799999999999 -0.23)10.75% (0.227 0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.28% (-0.505 -0.5)34.72% (0.506 0.51)
Cerro Porteno Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.82% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)46.17% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.14% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)81.85% (0.021999999999991 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Athletico Paranaense 70.52%
    Cerro Porteno 11.47%
    Draw 17.99%
Athletico ParanaenseDrawCerro Porteno
2-0 @ 12.34% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
1-0 @ 11.06% (0.13 0.13)
2-1 @ 9.54% (0.02 0.02)
3-0 @ 9.18% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
3-1 @ 7.09% (-0.052 -0.05)
4-0 @ 5.12% (-0.082999999999999 -0.08)
4-1 @ 3.96% (-0.067 -0.07)
3-2 @ 2.74% (-0.023 -0.02)
5-0 @ 2.28% (-0.059 -0.06)
5-1 @ 1.76% (-0.047 -0.05)
4-2 @ 1.53% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 3.92%
Total : 70.52%
1-1 @ 8.55% (0.099 0.1)
0-0 @ 4.96% (0.107 0.11)
2-2 @ 3.69% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 17.99%
0-1 @ 3.84% (0.08 0.08)
1-2 @ 3.31% (0.035 0.04)
0-2 @ 1.48% (0.03 0.03)
2-3 @ 0.95%
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 11.47%

How you voted: Athletico PR vs Cerro Porteno

Athletico Paranaense
47.4%
Draw
47.4%
Cerro Porteno
5.3%
19
Head to Head
Jul 19, 2024 1.30am
Round of 32 1st Leg
Cerro Porteno
1-1
Athletico PR
Benitez (33')
Piris (45+8'), Baez (63'), Gimenez (71')
Christian (69')
Godoy (45+4'), Julimar (45+4'), Christian (67'), Pablo (82')
> Preview