Barcelona SC (Ecuador)
Copa Sudamericana | Round of 32 | 1st Leg
Jul 18, 2024 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Monumental Banco Pichincha
Bragantino

Barcelona
1 - 1
Bragantino

Alman (31', 31')
Castillo (2'), Castillo (2'), Sosa (72'), Sosa (72'), Raul (82'), Raul (82')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Helinho (18', 18')
Mosquera (42'), Mosquera (42'), Alman (83'), Alman (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Copa Sudamericana clash between Barcelona SC and Bragantino, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Barcelona SC

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Last Game: Barcelona 2-1 Cobresal
Thursday, May 30 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores
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Bragantino

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Cruzeiro 2-1 Bragantino
Saturday, July 13 at 8pm in Brasileiro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona SC win with a probability of 36.66%. A win for Bragantino had a probability of 36.5% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona SC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.07%) and 2-0 (6.4%). The likeliest Bragantino win was 0-1 (10.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Barcelona SCDrawBragantino
36.66% (1.194 1.19)26.84% (0.364 0.36)36.5% (-1.558 -1.56)
Both teams to score 51.44% (-1.137 -1.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.28% (-1.464 -1.46)53.71% (1.464 1.46)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.8% (-1.245 -1.25)75.2% (1.247 1.25)
Barcelona SC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.76% (0.012999999999991 0.01)28.23% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.06% (0.014000000000003 0.01)63.94% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Bragantino Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.67% (-1.599 -1.6)28.32% (1.598 1.6)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.94% (-2.062 -2.06)64.05% (2.064 2.06)
Score Analysis
    Barcelona SC 36.65%
    Bragantino 36.49%
    Draw 26.83%
Barcelona SCDrawBragantino
1-0 @ 10.11% (0.567 0.57)
2-1 @ 8.07% (0.107 0.11)
2-0 @ 6.4% (0.362 0.36)
3-1 @ 3.4% (0.046 0.05)
3-0 @ 2.7% (0.154 0.15)
3-2 @ 2.15% (-0.068 -0.07)
4-1 @ 1.08% (0.015 0.01)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 36.65%
1-1 @ 12.75% (0.16 0.16)
0-0 @ 8% (0.449 0.45)
2-2 @ 5.09% (-0.164 -0.16)
3-3 @ 0.9% (-0.072 -0.07)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.83%
0-1 @ 10.08% (0.119 0.12)
1-2 @ 8.05% (-0.262 -0.26)
0-2 @ 6.36% (-0.21 -0.21)
1-3 @ 3.38% (-0.271 -0.27)
0-3 @ 2.68% (-0.216 -0.22)
2-3 @ 2.14% (-0.171 -0.17)
1-4 @ 1.07% (-0.139 -0.14)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 36.49%

How you voted: Barcelona vs Bragantino

Barcelona SC
66.7%
Draw
16.7%
Bragantino
16.7%
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