Copa Libertadores

Copa Libertadores | Group Stage

May 30, 2024 at 1.30am UK

Estadio Monumental Banco Pichincha

Barcelona
2 - 1
Cobresal

Fydriszewski (9', 9'), Diaz (18', 18')
Preciado (65'), Preciado (65')

FT(HT: 4-0)

Coelho (71', 71')
Cespedes (17'), Cespedes (17')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Copa Libertadores clash between Barcelona SC and Cobresal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Barcelona SC

Last Game: Sao Paulo 0-0 Barcelona
Friday, May 17 at 1am in Copa Libertadores

Cobresal

Last Game: Talleres 1-0 Cobresal
Tuesday, May 14 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona SC win with a probability of 69.95%. A draw had a probability of 18.1% and a win for Cobresal had a probability of 11.93%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona SC win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.76%) and 2-1 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.61%), while for a Cobresal win it was 0-1 (3.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barcelona SC would win this match.

Result
Barcelona SC	Draw	Cobresal
69.95% ( -0.15)	18.12% ( 0.04)	11.93% ( 0.11)

Both teams to score 49.13% (

0.21)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.4% (

0.09)

41.6% (

-0.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36% (

0.09)

64% (

-0.09)

Barcelona SC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.28% (

-0.01)

10.72% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

65.34% (

-0.03)

34.66% (

0.03)

Cobresal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.03% (

0.24)

44.96% (

-0.24)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.09% (

0.19)

80.91% (

-0.19)

Score Analysis

Barcelona SC 69.94%

Cobresal 11.93%

Draw 18.12%

Barcelona SC	Draw	Cobresal
2-0 @ 12.01% ( -0.07) 1-0 @ 10.76% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 9.61% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 8.95% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 7.15% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 4.99% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 3.99% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.86% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 2.23% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 1.78% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.6% ( 0.01) Other @ 4.02% Total : 69.94%	1-1 @ 8.61% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 4.82% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 3.84% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.85% Total : 18.12%	0-1 @ 3.85% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 3.44% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 1.54% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.02% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 0.92% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.16% Total : 11.93%