Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bragantino win with a probability of 42.68%. A win for Athletico Paranaense had a probability of 30.61% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bragantino win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.75%) and 2-0 (7.77%). The likeliest Athletico Paranaense win was 0-1 (9.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.