Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 53.74%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Gremio had a probability of 21.25%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.46%) and 2-1 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.81%), while for a Gremio win it was 0-1 (7.38%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.

Result
Athletico Paranaense	Draw	Gremio
53.74% ( -0.24)	25.01% ( 0.08)	21.25% ( 0.15)

Both teams to score 47.54% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.8% (

-0.13)

54.2% (

0.13)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.39% (

-0.11)

75.61% (

0.11)

Athletico Paranaense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.85% (

-0.15)

20.15% (

0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.57% (

-0.24)

52.43% (

0.23)

Gremio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.54% (

0.09)

40.46% (

-0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.93% (

0.08)

77.07% (

-0.08)

Score Analysis

Athletico Paranaense 53.73%

Gremio 21.25%

Draw 25%

Athletico Paranaense	Draw	Gremio
1-0 @ 13.05% 2-0 @ 10.46% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 9.47% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 5.59% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 5.06% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.29% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.24% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 2.02% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 0.92% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.65% Total : 53.73%	1-1 @ 11.81% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 8.15% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 4.28% ( 0) Other @ 0.76% Total : 25%	0-1 @ 7.38% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 5.35% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 3.34% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 1.61% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.29% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.01% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.28% Total : 21.25%