Gremio
Copa do Brasil | Round of 16 | 2nd Leg
Aug 8, 2024 at 1.30am UK
Arena do Gremio
Corinthians

Gremio
0 - 0
Corinthians


Kannemann (45'), Kannemann (45'), Costa (71'), Costa (71')
FT

Caca (26'), Caca (26'), Charles (33'), Charles (33'), Matheuzinho (56'), Matheuzinho (56'), Henrique (71'), Henrique (71')
Corinthians win 3-1 on penalties

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Copa do Brasil clash between Gremio and Corinthians, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Gremio

All competitions
Copa do Brasil
Last Game: Athletico PR 0-2 Gremio
Sunday, August 4 at 8pm in Brasileiro

Corinthians

All competitions
Copa do Brasil
Last Game: Corinthians 1-1 Juventude
Sunday, August 4 at 8pm in Brasileiro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gremio win with a probability of 54.16%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Corinthians had a probability of 21.19%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gremio win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.36%) and 2-1 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.68%), while for a Corinthians win it was 0-1 (7.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.

Result
GremioDrawCorinthians
54.16% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07)24.65% (0.061999999999998 0.06)21.19% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
Both teams to score 48.5% (-0.163 -0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.1% (-0.221 -0.22)52.9% (0.225 0.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.49% (-0.188 -0.19)74.51% (0.19199999999999 0.19)
Gremio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.53% (-0.10899999999999 -0.11)19.47% (0.115 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.67% (-0.183 -0.18)51.33% (0.187 0.19)
Corinthians Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.23% (-0.11799999999999 -0.12)39.77% (0.123 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.56% (-0.109 -0.11)76.44% (0.113 0.11)
Score Analysis
    Gremio 54.15%
    Corinthians 21.19%
    Draw 24.64%
GremioDrawCorinthians
1-0 @ 12.67% (0.07 0.07)
2-0 @ 10.36% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.56% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
3-0 @ 5.65% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.21% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.4% (-0.021 -0.02)
4-0 @ 2.31% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.13% (-0.019 -0.02)
4-2 @ 0.98% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 54.15%
1-1 @ 11.68% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 7.74% (0.069 0.07)
2-2 @ 4.41% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 24.64%
0-1 @ 7.14% (0.04 0.04)
1-2 @ 5.39% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.29% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.66% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.36% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.01% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 1.35%
Total : 21.19%

How you voted: Gremio vs Corinthians

Gremio
82.6%
Draw
13.0%
Corinthians
4.3%
23
Head to Head
Aug 1, 2024 1.30am
Round of 16 1st Leg
Corinthians
0-0
Gremio
Ramalho (81')
Raniele (54')
Marchesin (50'), Geromel (60'), Jemerson (70')
Nunes (90+9')
> Preview
Jul 26, 2024 12am
Gameweek 19
Corinthians
2-2
Gremio
Alberto (25' pen.), Garro (87')
Caca (40')
Ely (2'), Villasanti (76')
Geromel (31'), Ely (34')
> Preview
Nov 12, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 34
Gremio
0-1
Corinthians

Villasanti (45+1'), Suarez (90+7')
Alves (81')
Romero (32')
Caetano (15'), Menezes (18'), Maycon (42'), Romero (48'), Verissimo (74'), Fagner (90+5'), Ruan (90+9')
Mendez (10')
Sep 19, 2023 1am
Gameweek 15
Corinthians
4-4
Gremio
Santos (45' pen.), Verissimo (45+4'), Alberto (45+6'), Giuliano (67')
Santos (40')
Nathan (21'), Cristaldo (27'), Galdino (51'), Suarez (58')
Kannemann (54')
Dec 5, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 37
Corinthians
1-1
Gremio
Augusto (86')
Guedes (45+1')
Souza (39')
Kannemann (11'), Rafinha (15'), Geromel (45+1')
> Preview