Copa do Brasil | Round of 16 | 2nd Leg
Aug 8, 2024 at 1.30am UK
Arena do Gremio
Gremio0 - 0Corinthians
Corinthians win 3-1 on penalties
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Athletico PR 0-2 Gremio
Sunday, August 4 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Sunday, August 4 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Goals
for
for
17
Last Game: Corinthians 1-1 Juventude
Sunday, August 4 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Sunday, August 4 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Goals
for
for
19
We said: Gremio 1-0 Corinthians (Gremio to win 1-0 on aggregate)
Having played out eight draws in their previous 10 meetings (Corinthians have claimed two wins), an in-form Gremio should back themselves to finally end their extended sequence without beating Timao to notch a first victory in this fixture since December 2018 and advance to the competition's last eight. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gremio win with a probability of 54.16%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Corinthians had a probability of 21.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gremio win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.36%) and 2-1 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.68%), while for a Corinthians win it was 0-1 (7.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Gremio | Draw | Corinthians |
54.16% ( -0.07) | 24.65% ( 0.06) | 21.19% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 48.5% ( -0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.1% ( -0.22) | 52.9% ( 0.23) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.49% ( -0.19) | 74.51% ( 0.19) |
| Gremio Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.53% ( -0.11) | 19.47% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 48.67% ( -0.18) | 51.33% ( 0.19) |
| Corinthians Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.23% ( -0.12) | 39.77% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 23.56% ( -0.11) | 76.44% ( 0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
Gremio 54.15%
Corinthians 21.19%
Draw 24.64%
| Gremio | Draw | Corinthians |
| 1-0 @ 12.67% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 10.36% ( 0.02)2-1 @ 9.56% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 5.65% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 5.21% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.4% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 2.31% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.13% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 0.98% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.87% Total : 54.15% | 1-1 @ 11.68% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.74% ( 0.07)2-2 @ 4.41% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.81% Total : 24.64% | 0-1 @ 7.14% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 5.39% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 3.29% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.66% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.36% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.01% ( -0)Other @ 1.35% Total : 21.19% |
How you voted: Gremio vs Corinthians
Gremio
82.6%Draw
13.0%Corinthians
4.3%23
Form Guide
