Corinthians
Brasileiro | Gameweek 25
Sep 1, 2024 at 8pm UK
Arena Corinthians
Flamengo

Corinthians
2 - 1
Flamengo

Magno (26'), Romero (60')
Diaz (8'), Magno (20'), Andres Martinez (29'), Charles (48'), Romero (62'), Torres (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Pedro (37' pen.)
Pulgar (7'), Lucas (17'), Rodrigues de Souza (65'), Moises de Lima (90+11')
Alcaraz (90+11')
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Corinthians and Flamengo.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Juventude 2-1 Corinthians
Friday, August 30 at 12am in Copa do Brasil
Last Game: Bahia 0-1 Flamengo
Thursday, August 29 at 1.30am in Copa do Brasil

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 36.92%. A win for Corinthians had a probability of 36.13% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.08%) and 0-2 (6.49%). The likeliest Corinthians win was 1-0 (10.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 8% likelihood.

Result
CorinthiansDrawFlamengo
36.13% (0.028000000000006 0.03)26.95% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)36.92% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Both teams to score 51.08% (0.086999999999996 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.84% (0.11 0.11)54.16% (-0.105 -0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.43% (0.093 0.09)75.57% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)
Corinthians Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.24% (0.070999999999998 0.07)28.76% (-0.065999999999999 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.4% (0.086999999999996 0.09)64.6% (-0.081000000000003 -0.08)
Flamengo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.71% (0.053999999999988 0.05)28.29% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.99% (0.069000000000003 0.07)64.01% (-0.062999999999988 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Corinthians 36.13%
    Flamengo 36.92%
    Draw 26.95%
CorinthiansDrawFlamengo
1-0 @ 10.14% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 7.98% (0.008 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.32% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-1 @ 3.31% (0.01 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.62% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 2.09% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.03% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 36.13%
1-1 @ 12.8% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.14% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.04% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 26.95%
0-1 @ 10.27% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
1-2 @ 8.08% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.49% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.4% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.73% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 2.12% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.07% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 36.92%

Head to Head
May 11, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 6
Flamengo
2-0
Corinthians
Pedro (20'), Lorran (63')
Pereira (63')

Romero (45+2')
Oct 8, 2023 1am
Gameweek 26
Corinthians
1-1
Flamengo
Santos (79' pen.)
Moscardo (33'), Verissimo (52'), Fagner (58')
Gerson (54')
Pulgar (41'), Pereira (77'), Henrique (90+4')
May 21, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 7
Flamengo
1-0
Corinthians
Pereira (90+4')

Mendez (76'), Ramos (79')
Nov 3, 2022 12.30am
Gameweek 35
Flamengo
1-2
Corinthians
Franca (48')
Queiroz (43'), Alberto (75')
Oct 20, 2022 1.45am
Final 2nd Leg
Flamengo
1-1
Corinthians
(Aggregate 1-1 | Flamengo win 6-5 on penalties)