Copa do Brasil | Quarter-Finals | 1st Leg
Aug 30, 2024 at 12am UK
Estadio Alfredo Jaconi
Corinthians

Juventude
2 - 1
Corinthians

Carrillo (67', 67'), Boza (87', 87')
Lucas (18'), Lucas (18'), Marcos (74'), Marcos (74')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Henrique (90+3', 90+3')
Henrique (3'), Diaz (3'), Henrique (3'), Diaz (3'), Caca (10'), Caca (10'), Matheuzinho (63'), Matheuzinho (63'), Planelles Donelli (73'), Planelles Donelli (73'), Ramalho (85'), Ramalho (85')
Coverage of the Copa do Brasil Quarter-Finals clash between Juventude and Corinthians.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventude win with a probability of 37.06%. A win for Corinthians had a probability of 35.27% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Juventude win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.95%) and 2-0 (6.74%). The likeliest Corinthians win was 0-1 (10.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Juventude would win this match.

Result
JuventudeDrawCorinthians
37.06% (0.012 0.01)27.67% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)35.27% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Both teams to score 48.77% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.97% (0.009999999999998 0.01)57.03% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.08% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)77.92% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)
Juventude Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.39% (0.010999999999996 0.01)29.6% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.36% (0.015000000000001 0.02)65.64% (-0.01700000000001 -0.02)
Corinthians Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.28% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)30.71% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.03% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)66.97%
Score Analysis
    Juventude 37.05%
    Corinthians 35.27%
    Draw 27.67%
JuventudeDrawCorinthians
1-0 @ 11.06%
2-1 @ 7.95% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-0 @ 6.74% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 3.23% (0.0029999999999997 0)
3-0 @ 2.73% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 1.9% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 0.98% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 37.05%
1-1 @ 13.06%
0-0 @ 9.09% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-2 @ 4.69% (0.00099999999999945 0)
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 27.67%
0-1 @ 10.73%
1-2 @ 7.71%
0-2 @ 6.34% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 3.03% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-3 @ 2.49% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-3 @ 1.85% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 35.27%

Head to Head
Aug 4, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 21
Corinthians
1-1
Juventude
Henrique (48')
Coronado (30'), Garro (56')
Ruschel (4')
Ventura (31'), Thiaguinho (45+13'), Jadson (47'), Ruschel (52'), Gilberto (87'), Sam (90+4'), Gustavo da Silva Machado Duarte (90+5'), Claus (90+7')
Gabriel (45+2'), Ruschel (57'), Ruschel (57')
Apr 18, 2024 12am
Gameweek 2
Juventude
2-0
Corinthians
Carlos (53'), Barbosa (59')
Caique (70'), Jadson (90')
Jadson (90+6')

Garro (82')
Oct 5, 2022 1.30am
Gameweek 30
Juventude
2-2
Corinthians
Ruiz (46'), Pitta (62')
Giuliano (24'), Alberto (54')
Jun 11, 2022 8.30pm
Gameweek 11
Corinthians
2-0
Juventude
Adson (2'), Mantuan (84')
Giuliano (46')

Jean (17'), Mendes (59'), Gabriel (73'), Yuri (86')
Dec 10, 2021 12.30am
Gameweek 38
Juventude
1-0
Corinthians
Chico (83' pen.)