Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortaleza win with a probability of 56.26%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Corinthians had a probability of 18.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fortaleza win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.84%) and 2-1 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.66%), while for a Corinthians win it was 0-1 (7.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Fortaleza in this match.

Result
Fortaleza	Draw	Corinthians
56.26% ( 0.18)	25.37% ( -0.01)	18.37% ( -0.17)

Both teams to score 42.5% (

-0.24)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.34% (

-0.17)

58.66% (

0.17)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.8% (

-0.13)

79.2% (

0.13)

Fortaleza Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.09% (

20.91% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.37% (

0.01)

53.63% (

-0.01)

Corinthians Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

53.73% (

-0.31)

46.27% (

0.31)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.07% (

-0.24)

81.93% (

0.24)

Score Analysis

Fortaleza 56.26%

Corinthians 18.37%

Draw 25.36%

Fortaleza	Draw	Corinthians
1-0 @ 15.14% ( 0.1) 2-0 @ 11.84% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 9.13% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 6.18% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 4.76% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.42% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.86% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.84% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.08% Total : 56.26%	1-1 @ 11.66% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 9.67% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 3.52% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.51% Total : 25.36%	0-1 @ 7.46% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 4.5% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 2.87% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 0.9% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.48% Total : 18.37%