Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rosario Central win with a probability of 43.07%. A draw had a probability of 29.4% and a win for Fortaleza had a probability of 27.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rosario Central win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.82%) and 2-1 (8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.21%), while for a Fortaleza win it was 0-1 (10.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.