Copa Sudamericana | Round of 16 | 1st Leg
Aug 14, 2024 at 11pm UK
Estadio El Fortin de Luduena
Fortaleza

Rosario
1 - 1
Fortaleza

Sandez (6')
Mallo (44'), Quintana (45+4'), Modica (87'), Campaz (90')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Marinho (2')
Britez (36'), Rossetto (43'), Cardona (45+1'), Augusto (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Copa Sudamericana clash between Rosario Central and Fortaleza, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Rosario 1-0 Newell's OB
Saturday, August 10 at 8.30pm in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rosario Central win with a probability of 43.07%. A draw had a probability of 29.4% and a win for Fortaleza had a probability of 27.58%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rosario Central win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.82%) and 2-1 (8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.21%), while for a Fortaleza win it was 0-1 (10.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Rosario CentralDrawFortaleza
43.07% (0.026000000000003 0.03)29.35% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)27.58% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 41.83% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
35.48% (0.00099999999999767 0)64.52% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
16.45%83.55% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Rosario Central Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.19% (0.016000000000005 0.02)29.81% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.11% (0.016999999999996 0.02)65.89% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)
Fortaleza Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.59% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)40.4% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.98% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)77.02% (0.018999999999991 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Rosario Central 43.06%
    Fortaleza 27.57%
    Draw 29.35%
Rosario CentralDrawFortaleza
1-0 @ 14.57%
2-0 @ 8.82% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-1 @ 8% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 3.56% (0.004 0)
3-1 @ 3.23% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 1.46% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 1.08% (0.002 0)
4-1 @ 0.98% (0.001 0)
Other @ 1.38%
Total : 43.06%
1-1 @ 13.21%
0-0 @ 12.04%
2-2 @ 3.62% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.47%
Total : 29.35%
0-1 @ 10.91% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 5.99% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-2 @ 4.95% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 1.81% (-0.002 -0)
0-3 @ 1.49% (-0.002 -0)
2-3 @ 1.09% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 1.33%
Total : 27.57%

How you voted: Rosario vs Fortaleza

Rosario Central
15.4%
Draw
53.8%
Fortaleza
30.8%
13