Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gimnasia win with a probability of 45.82%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for Rosario Central had a probability of 26.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gimnasia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.05%) and 2-1 (8.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.85%), while for a Rosario Central win it was 0-1 (9.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.