Copa Sudamericana | Round of 32 | 1st Leg
Jul 17, 2024 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Dr. Lisandro de la Torre
Internacional (Brasil)

Rosario
1 - 0
Internacional

Campaz (49', 49')
Campaz (32'), Campaz (32'), Gomez (76'), Gomez (76')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Wesley (37'), Wesley (37'), Gomes (90+5'), Gomes (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Copa Sudamericana clash between Rosario Central and Internacional, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Rosario Central

All competitions
Last Game: Godoy Cruz 1-1 Rosario
Wednesday, June 12 at 9pm in Argentine Primera Division

Internacional

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Juventude 1-1 Internacional
Saturday, July 13 at 9.15pm in Copa do Brasil

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Internacional win with a probability of 39.24%. A win for Rosario Central had a probability of 31.43% and a draw had a probability of 29.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Internacional win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.75%) and 0-2 (7.72%). The likeliest Rosario Central win was 1-0 (11.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.

Result
Rosario CentralDrawInternacional
31.43% (0.363 0.36)29.33% (-0.091000000000001 -0.09)39.24% (-0.274 -0.27)
Both teams to score 43.44% (0.337 0.34)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
36.69% (0.365 0.37)63.31% (-0.369 -0.37)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.31% (0.261 0.26)82.69% (-0.26299999999999 -0.26)
Rosario Central Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.34% (0.47000000000001 0.47)36.65% (-0.474 -0.47)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.56% (0.473 0.47)73.44% (-0.476 -0.48)
Internacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.58% (0.021000000000001 0.02)31.42% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.2% (0.024999999999999 0.02)67.79% (-0.028000000000006 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Rosario Central 31.43%
    Internacional 39.23%
    Draw 29.32%
Rosario CentralDrawInternacional
1-0 @ 11.55% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 6.72% (0.085 0.09)
2-0 @ 5.8% (0.069999999999999 0.07)
3-1 @ 2.25% (0.057 0.06)
3-0 @ 1.94% (0.049 0.05)
3-2 @ 1.3% (0.034 0.03)
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 31.43%
1-1 @ 13.38%
0-0 @ 11.51% (-0.16 -0.16)
2-2 @ 3.89% (0.052 0.05)
Other @ 0.54%
Total : 29.32%
0-1 @ 13.33% (-0.17 -0.17)
1-2 @ 7.75% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-2 @ 7.72% (-0.096 -0.1)
1-3 @ 2.99% (0.0029999999999997 0)
0-3 @ 2.98% (-0.034 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.5% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 39.23%

How you voted: Rosario vs Internacional

Rosario Central
42.9%
Draw
14.3%
Internacional
42.9%
14