Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rosario Central win with a probability of 46.15%. A draw had a probability of 28.3% and a win for Tigre had a probability of 25.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rosario Central win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.44%) and 2-1 (8.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.93%), while for a Tigre win it was 0-1 (9.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.