Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rosario Central win with a probability of 36.88%. A win for Lanus had a probability of 32.45% and a draw had a probability of 30.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rosario Central win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.35%) and 2-1 (7.09%). The likeliest Lanus win was 0-1 (12.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.