Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Instituto win with a probability of 38.56%. A win for Gimnasia had a probability of 32.02% and a draw had a probability of 29.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Instituto win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.66%) and 2-0 (7.56%). The likeliest Gimnasia win was 0-1 (11.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Instituto would win this match.

Result
Instituto	Draw	Gimnasia
38.56% ( 0)	29.41% ( 0.02)	32.02% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 43.35% (

-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

36.51% (

-0.06)

63.48% (

0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

17.18% (

-0.04)

82.82% (

0.04)

Instituto Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.08% (

-0.03)

31.92% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.63% (

-0.03)

68.37% (

0.03)

Gimnasia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.68% (

-0.05)

36.32% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.9% (

-0.05)

73.1% (

0.05)

Score Analysis

Instituto 38.56%

Gimnasia 32.02%

Draw 29.4%

Instituto	Draw	Gimnasia
1-0 @ 13.23% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 7.66% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.56% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 2.91% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.88% 3-2 @ 1.48% ( -0) Other @ 2.85% Total : 38.56%	1-1 @ 13.4% 0-0 @ 11.59% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 3.88% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.54% Total : 29.4%	0-1 @ 11.74% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.79% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 5.95% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.29% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.01% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.31% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.93% Total : 32.02%