Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gimnasia win with a probability of 38.57%. A draw had a probability of 30.7% and a win for Banfield had a probability of 30.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gimnasia win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.83%) and 2-1 (7.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.55%), while for a Banfield win it was 0-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Gimnasia would win this match.