Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gimnasia win with a probability of 40.87%. A draw had a probability of 31.2% and a win for Banfield had a probability of 27.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gimnasia win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.58%) and 2-1 (7.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.51%), while for a Banfield win it was 0-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.