Estudiantes
Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 8
Jul 28, 2024 at 7pm UK
Estadio Ciudad de La Plata

Estudiantes
4 - 1
Gimnasia

Ascacibar (46'), Carrillo (52', 64'), Sosa (90+6' pen.)
Perez (21'), Mancuso (62'), Benedetti (72')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Zalazar (87')
Castro (48'), Cabral (82')
Insfran (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Argentine Primera Division clash between Estudiantes and Gimnasia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Estudiantes

All competitions
Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Huracan 0-0 Estudiantes
Wednesday, July 24 at 11.30pm in Argentine Primera Division

Gimnasia

All competitions
Last Game: Gimnasia 0-1 San Lorenzo
Tuesday, July 23 at 10.45pm in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estudiantes win with a probability of 58.22%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Gimnasia had a probability of 17.66%.

The most likely scoreline for a Estudiantes win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.84%) and 2-1 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.28%), while for a Gimnasia win it was 0-1 (6.75%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Estudiantes would win this match.

Result
EstudiantesDrawGimnasia
58.22% (-0.362 -0.36)24.12% (0.145 0.15)17.66% (0.212 0.21)
Both teams to score 44.58% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.79% (-0.242 -0.24)55.21% (0.239 0.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.55% (-0.199 -0.2)76.44% (0.196 0.2)
Estudiantes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.2% (-0.22800000000001 -0.23)18.8% (0.224 0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.78% (-0.379 -0.38)50.21% (0.375 0.38)
Gimnasia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.9% (0.118 0.12)45.1% (-0.122 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.99% (0.095000000000002 0.1)81.01% (-0.099000000000004 -0.1)
Score Analysis
    Estudiantes 58.21%
    Gimnasia 17.66%
    Draw 24.11%
EstudiantesDrawGimnasia
1-0 @ 14.16% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-0 @ 11.84% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-1 @ 9.43% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
3-0 @ 6.6% (-0.081 -0.08)
3-1 @ 5.25% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)
4-0 @ 2.76% (-0.054 -0.05)
4-1 @ 2.2% (-0.035 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.09% (-0.012 -0.01)
5-0 @ 0.92% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 58.21%
1-1 @ 11.28% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
0-0 @ 8.48% (0.079000000000001 0.08)
2-2 @ 3.76% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
Other @ 0.6%
Total : 24.11%
0-1 @ 6.75% (0.085 0.09)
1-2 @ 4.49% (0.04 0.04)
0-2 @ 2.69% (0.043 0.04)
1-3 @ 1.19% (0.015 0.02)
2-3 @ 1% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 1.54%
Total : 17.66%

How you voted: Estudiantes vs Gimnasia

Estudiantes
44.4%
Draw
44.4%
Gimnasia
11.1%
9
Head to Head
Feb 25, 2024 10.30pm
Gameweek 7
Gimnasia
0-0
Estudiantes
Rodriguez (52'), Dominguez (60'), Dominguez (60')
Perez (41'), Benedetti (90+3')
Oct 1, 2023 9pm
Gameweek 7
Estudiantes
0-0
Gimnasia
Nunez (76')
Cabral (29'), Bolivar (72'), Saravia (85')
Mar 19, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 8
Gimnasia
2-1
Estudiantes
Lescano (56'), Tarragona (86' pen.)
Boselli (4')
Jun 5, 2022 9pm
Gameweek 1
Estudiantes
1-1
Gimnasia
Rogel (40')
Diaz (86')
Tarragona (52')
Morales (39'), Cardozo (68')
Mar 20, 2022 7.15pm
Gameweek 7
Gimnasia
1-1
Estudiantes
Ramirez (90+6')
Leyes (38'), Morales (47'), Ramirez (57'), Aleman (67'), Enrique (90+1')
Godoy (43')
Diaz (47'), Pellegrini (65'), Zuqui (67'), Kociubinski (79'), Noguera (82'), Rodriguez (86')