Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gimnasia win with a probability of 39.97%. A win for Independiente Rivadavia had a probability of 31.77% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gimnasia win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.13%) and 0-2 (7.63%). The likeliest Independiente Rivadavia win was 1-0 (10.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.

Result
Independiente Rivadavia	Draw	Gimnasia
31.77% ( 0.37)	28.26% ( 0.07)	39.97% ( -0.44)

Both teams to score 46.43% (

-0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.34% (

-0.16)

59.66% (

0.15)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.02% (

-0.12)

79.98% (

0.12)

Independiente Rivadavia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.56% (

0.19)

34.44% (

-0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.84% (

0.2)

71.15% (

-0.2)

Gimnasia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.83% (

-0.33)

29.17% (

0.33)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.89% (

-0.41)

65.11% (

0.4)

Score Analysis

Independiente Rivadavia 31.76%

Gimnasia 39.96%

Draw 28.25%

Independiente Rivadavia	Draw	Gimnasia
1-0 @ 10.7% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 7.03% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 5.71% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 2.5% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 2.03% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 1.54% ( 0) Other @ 2.26% Total : 31.76%	1-1 @ 13.19% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 10.04% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 4.33% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.69% Total : 28.25%	0-1 @ 12.37% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 8.13% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 7.63% ( -0.1) 1-3 @ 3.34% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 3.13% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 1.78% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.03% ( -0.03) 0-4 @ 0.96% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.6% Total : 39.96%