Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sarmiento win with a probability of 46.16%. A draw had a probability of 28.2% and a win for Independiente Rivadavia had a probability of 25.62%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sarmiento win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.42%) and 2-1 (8.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.92%), while for a Independiente Rivadavia win it was 0-1 (9.85%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.

Result
Sarmiento	Draw	Independiente Rivadavia
46.16% ( -0.81)	28.22% ( 0.33)	25.62% ( 0.48)

Both teams to score 43.4% (

-0.46)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

38.09% (

-0.78)

61.91% (

0.78)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.33% (

-0.58)

81.67% (

0.58)

Sarmiento Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.09% (

-0.76)

26.9% (

0.77)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.77% (

-1.02)

62.23% (

1.02)

Independiente Rivadavia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.37% (

-0.01)

40.63% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.78% (

-0.01)

77.22% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Sarmiento 46.16%

Independiente Rivadavia 25.62%

Draw 28.21%

Sarmiento	Draw	Independiente Rivadavia
1-0 @ 14.35% ( 0.11) 2-0 @ 9.42% ( -0.14) 2-1 @ 8.49% ( -0.13) 3-0 @ 4.12% ( -0.15) 3-1 @ 3.71% ( -0.14) 3-2 @ 1.67% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 1.35% ( -0.08) 4-1 @ 1.22% ( -0.07) Other @ 1.82% Total : 46.16%	1-1 @ 12.92% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 10.93% ( 0.32) 2-2 @ 3.82% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.54% Total : 28.21%	0-1 @ 9.85% ( 0.28) 1-2 @ 5.82% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 4.43% ( 0.13) 1-3 @ 1.75% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.33% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.3% Total : 25.62%