Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sarmiento win with a probability of 40.53%. A draw had a probability of 29.9% and a win for Platense had a probability of 29.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sarmiento win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.22%) and 2-1 (7.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.37%), while for a Platense win it was 0-1 (11.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.