Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 12

Mar 31, 2024 at 8pm UK

Estadio Eva Peron de Junin

Sarmiento
0 - 1
Newell's OB

Diaz (47'), Quiroga (77'), Gallardo (90+3')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Ramirez (81' pen.)
Jaime (50'), Fernandez (67'), Ramirez (73'), Mendez (75'), Chiaverano (90+6')
Fernandez (75')

Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Sarmiento and Newell's Old Boys.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sarmiento

All competitions

Last Game: San Lorenzo 1-0 Sarmiento
Saturday, March 16 at 8pm in Argentine Primera Division

Goals
for

Top scorers

Newell's Old Boys

All competitions

Last Game: Newell's OB 0-0 Platense
Saturday, March 16 at 12am in Argentine Primera Division

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newell's Old Boys win with a probability of 35.99%. A win for Sarmiento had a probability of 32.93% and a draw had a probability of 31.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newell's Old Boys win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.17%) and 1-2 (6.87%). The likeliest Sarmiento win was 1-0 (13.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (13.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 14.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Newell's Old Boys in this match.

Result
Sarmiento	Draw	Newell's Old Boys
32.93% ( 0.59)	31.07% ( -0.14)	35.99% ( -0.46)

Both teams to score 39.33% (

0.4)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

31.64% (

0.43)

68.36% (

-0.44)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

13.83% (

0.28)

86.17% (

-0.29)

Sarmiento Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.64% (

0.69)

38.36% (

-0.7)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.88% (

0.66)

75.11% (

-0.66)

Newell's Old Boys Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.8% (

-0.07)

36.19% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.02% (

-0.07)

72.97% (

0.06)

Score Analysis

Sarmiento 32.93%

Newell's Old Boys 35.98%

Draw 31.07%

Sarmiento	Draw	Newell's Old Boys
1-0 @ 13.3% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 6.48% ( 0.13) 2-0 @ 6.37% ( 0.14) 3-1 @ 2.07% ( 0.08) 3-0 @ 2.04% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 1.05% ( 0.04) Other @ 1.62% Total : 32.93%	0-0 @ 13.88% ( -0.22) 1-1 @ 13.52% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 3.29% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.38% Total : 31.07%	0-1 @ 14.1% ( -0.26) 0-2 @ 7.17% ( -0.14) 1-2 @ 6.87% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.43% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 2.33% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.12% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.97% Total : 35.98%