Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sarmiento win with a probability of 35.17%. A draw had a probability of 32.6% and a win for Union had a probability of 32.19%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sarmiento win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.12%) and 2-1 (6.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (16.18%), while for a Union win it was 0-1 (14.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.

Result
Sarmiento	Draw	Union
35.17% ( 0.19)	32.64% ( -0.04)	32.19% ( -0.14)

Both teams to score 35.69% (

0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

27.5% (

0.1)

72.5% (

-0.1)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

11.21% (

0.06)

88.79% (

-0.06)

Sarmiento Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.86% (

0.2)

39.14% (

-0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.14% (

0.18)

75.85% (

-0.18)

Union Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.65% (

-0.05)

41.35% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.13% (

-0.04)

77.87% (

0.04)

Score Analysis

Sarmiento 35.17%

Union 32.18%

Draw 32.63%

Sarmiento	Draw	Union
1-0 @ 15.18% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 7.12% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 6.29% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 2.23% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 1.97% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.39% Total : 35.17%	0-0 @ 16.18% ( -0.06) 1-1 @ 13.4% 2-2 @ 2.78% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.27% Total : 32.63%	0-1 @ 14.29% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 6.31% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 5.92% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.86% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.74% ( -0) Other @ 2.06% Total : 32.18%