Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 5
Jun 13, 2024 at 1.15am UK
Estadio Juan Carmelo Zerillo

Gimnasia
2 - 1
Barracas Central

Dominguez (29' pen., 29' pen.), Castillo (85', 85')
Castillo (55'), Castillo (55'), Dominguez (88'), Dominguez (88'), Cabral (90+6'), Cabral (90+6')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Iacobellis (58', 58')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Argentine Primera Division clash between Gimnasia and Barracas Central, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Gimnasia

All competitions
Last Game: Instituto 2-1 Gimnasia
Monday, June 3 at 12.15am in Argentine Primera Division

Barracas Central

All competitions
Last Game: Barracas Central 0-2 Huracan
Tuesday, June 4 at 7pm in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gimnasia win with a probability of 59.29%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Barracas Central had a probability of 16.89%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gimnasia win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.14%) and 2-1 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.12%), while for a Barracas Central win it was 0-1 (6.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Gimnasia in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Gimnasia.

Result
GimnasiaDrawBarracas Central
59.29% (0.175 0.18)23.82% (-0.151 -0.15)16.89% (-0.026 -0.03)
Both teams to score 44.01% (0.352 0.35)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.8% (0.503 0.5)55.2% (-0.504 -0.5)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.56% (0.411 0.41)76.43% (-0.413 -0.41)
Gimnasia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.6% (0.251 0.25)18.4% (-0.253 -0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.46% (0.427 0.43)49.54% (-0.429 -0.43)
Barracas Central Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.93% (0.265 0.27)46.06% (-0.268 -0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.23% (0.205 0.2)81.77% (-0.20700000000001 -0.21)
Score Analysis
    Gimnasia 59.28%
    Barracas Central 16.89%
    Draw 23.82%
GimnasiaDrawBarracas Central
1-0 @ 14.34% (-0.17 -0.17)
2-0 @ 12.14% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-1 @ 9.41% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
3-0 @ 6.85% (0.034 0.03)
3-1 @ 5.31% (0.066 0.07)
4-0 @ 2.9% (0.038 0.04)
4-1 @ 2.25% (0.046 0.05)
3-2 @ 2.06% (0.04 0.04)
5-0 @ 0.98% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 59.28%
1-1 @ 11.12% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
0-0 @ 8.47% (-0.167 -0.17)
2-2 @ 3.65% (0.043 0.04)
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 23.82%
0-1 @ 6.57% (-0.08 -0.08)
1-2 @ 4.31% (0.015 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.55% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.11% (0.012 0.01)
2-3 @ 0.94% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 1.41%
Total : 16.89%

How you voted: Gimnasia vs Barracas Central

Gimnasia
92.9%
Draw
7.1%
Barracas Central
0.0%
14
Head to Head
Mar 9, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 10
Gimnasia
2-0
Barracas Central
Sanchez (78'), Ramirez (88')
Ramirez (86')

Herrera (90')
Oct 24, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 10
Barracas Central
1-2
Gimnasia
Tapia (73' pen.)
Colazo (4'), Cabral (75')
Feb 27, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 5
Barracas Central
1-0
Gimnasia
Arce (19')
Sep 29, 2022 7.30pm
Gameweek 22
Barracas Central
1-1
Gimnasia
Bandiera (28')
Dominguez (71')
> Preview