Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 3
May 27, 2024 at 11pm UK
Estadio 15 de Abril

Union
2 - 0
Barracas Central

Mosqueira (44'), Domina (90+4')
Corvalan (9'), Paz (20'), Vera (62'), Demian Fascendini (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Zalazar (20'), Iacobellis (29'), Herrera (66')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Argentine Primera Division clash between Union and Barracas Central, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Union

All competitions
Last Game: Instituto 1-1 Union
Sunday, May 19 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division

Barracas Central

All competitions
Last Game: Barracas Central 1-1 Sarmiento
Sunday, May 19 at 7pm in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union win with a probability of 60.7%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Barracas Central had a probability of 14.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.88%) and 2-1 (8.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (11.21%), while for a Barracas Central win it was 0-1 (6.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Union would win this match.

Result
UnionDrawBarracas Central
60.7% (0.332 0.33)24.97% (-0.097000000000001 -0.1)14.32% (-0.235 -0.23)
Both teams to score 36.38% (-0.24 -0.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.4% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)62.59% (0.035000000000004 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.83% (-0.025000000000002 -0.03)82.17% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Union Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.27% (0.11800000000001 0.12)20.72% (-0.118 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.65% (0.185 0.18)53.34% (-0.184 -0.18)
Barracas Central Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
45.89% (-0.371 -0.37)54.11% (0.372 0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
12.66% (-0.229 -0.23)87.34% (0.23 0.23)
Score Analysis
    Union 60.69%
    Barracas Central 14.32%
    Draw 24.97%
UnionDrawBarracas Central
1-0 @ 17.64% (0.080000000000002 0.08)
2-0 @ 13.88% (0.11 0.11)
2-1 @ 8.53% (-0.023000000000001 -0.02)
3-0 @ 7.29% (0.087999999999999 0.09)
3-1 @ 4.48% (0.0039999999999996 0)
4-0 @ 2.87% (0.044 0.04)
4-1 @ 1.76% (0.008 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.37% (-0.014 -0.01)
5-0 @ 0.9% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 60.69%
0-0 @ 11.21% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
1-1 @ 10.84% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-2 @ 2.62% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 24.97%
0-1 @ 6.89% (-0.068000000000001 -0.07)
1-2 @ 3.33% (-0.059 -0.06)
0-2 @ 2.12% (-0.045 -0.04)
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 14.32%

How you voted: Union vs Barracas Central

Union
75.0%
Draw
12.5%
Barracas Central
12.5%
8
Head to Head
Feb 13, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 3
Barracas Central
1-1
Union
Sepulveda (5')
Machuca (22')
Jun 15, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 3
Barracas Central
1-2
Union
Valenzuela (69' pen.)
Ferreyra (19'), Mater (81')
Alvez (10'), Britez (14')
Peralta (11'), Machuca (84')
> Preview