Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gimnasia win with a probability of 38.98%. A win for Barracas Central had a probability of 32.48% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gimnasia win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.96%) and 0-2 (7.45%). The likeliest Barracas Central win was 1-0 (11.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.