Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 22
Sep 29, 2022 at 7.30pm UK
 

Barracas Central
1 - 1
Gimnasia

Bandiera (28')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Dominguez (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Argentine Primera Division clash between Barracas Central and Gimnasia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Barracas Central

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Velez Sarsfield 1-0 Barracas Central
Monday, September 26 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Gimnasia

All competitions
Last Game: Gimnasia 0-1 Tigre
Sunday, September 25 at 7.30pm in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gimnasia win with a probability of 38.98%. A win for Barracas Central had a probability of 32.48% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gimnasia win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.96%) and 0-2 (7.45%). The likeliest Barracas Central win was 1-0 (11.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Barracas CentralDrawGimnasia
32.48% (-0.117 -0.12)28.53% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)38.98% (0.156 0.16)
Both teams to score 45.84% (0.092999999999996 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.51% (0.127 0.13)60.48% (-0.131 -0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.39% (0.096 0.1)80.6% (-0.101 -0.1)
Barracas Central Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.63% (-0.015999999999991 -0.02)34.37% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.92% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)71.07% (0.011999999999986 0.01)
Gimnasia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.84% (0.155 0.16)30.15% (-0.159 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.69% (0.187 0.19)66.3% (-0.19199999999999 -0.19)
Score Analysis
    Barracas Central 32.47%
    Gimnasia 38.98%
    Draw 28.52%
Barracas CentralDrawGimnasia
1-0 @ 11.06% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
2-1 @ 7.09% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
2-0 @ 5.91% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
3-1 @ 2.52% (-0.004 -0)
3-0 @ 2.1% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.51% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 32.47%
1-1 @ 13.26% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 10.36% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
2-2 @ 4.25% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 28.52%
0-1 @ 12.42% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.96% (0.028 0.03)
0-2 @ 7.45% (0.029000000000001 0.03)
1-3 @ 3.18% (0.025 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.98% (0.024 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.7% (0.013 0.01)
1-4 @ 0.95% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 38.98%

How you voted: Barracas Central vs Gimnasia

Barracas Central
60.4%
Draw
28.3%
Gimnasia
11.3%
53