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Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 21
Sep 26, 2022 at 12.30am UK
Estadio Jose Amalfitani

Velez Sarsfield
1 - 0
Barracas Central

Bou (28' pen.)
Seoane (70'), Janson (81')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Arce (26'), Sepulveda (71'), Paz (90+4'), Ferreyra (90+6')
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Velez Sarsfield and Barracas Central.

Form, Standings, Stats

Velez Sarsfield

All competitions
Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Tigre 2-0 Velez Sarsfield
Sunday, September 18 at 5pm in Argentine Primera Division

Barracas Central

All competitions
Last Game: Barracas Central 3-1 Godoy Cruz
Saturday, September 17 at 7.30pm in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Velez Sarsfield win with a probability of 59.97%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Barracas Central had a probability of 16.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Velez Sarsfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.15%) and 2-1 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.97%), while for a Barracas Central win it was 0-1 (6.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Velez Sarsfield in this match.

Result
Velez SarsfieldDrawBarracas Central
59.97% (-0.158 -0.16) 23.43% (0.009999999999998 0.01) 16.6% (0.158 0.16)
Both teams to score 44.54% (0.284 0.28)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.81% (0.216 0.22)54.19% (-0.208 -0.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.4% (0.181 0.18)75.6% (-0.173 -0.17)
Velez Sarsfield Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.23% (0.022999999999996 0.02)17.78% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.52% (0.036000000000001 0.04)48.48% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)
Barracas Central Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.17% (0.335 0.34)45.83% (-0.32899999999999 -0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.41% (0.261 0.26)81.59% (-0.253 -0.25)
Score Analysis
    Velez Sarsfield 59.97%
    Barracas Central 16.6%
    Draw 23.42%
Velez SarsfieldDrawBarracas Central
1-0 @ 14.07% (-0.11 -0.11)
2-0 @ 12.15% (-0.09 -0.09)
2-1 @ 9.48% (0.020999999999999 0.02)
3-0 @ 7% (-0.045 -0.04)
3-1 @ 5.46% (0.015 0.01)
4-0 @ 3.02% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.36% (0.008 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.13% (0.026 0.03)
5-0 @ 1.04% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-2 @ 0.92% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 59.97%
1-1 @ 10.97% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.15% (-0.065999999999999 -0.07)
2-2 @ 3.7% (0.042 0.04)
Other @ 0.6%
Total : 23.42%
0-1 @ 6.36% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-2 @ 4.28% (0.046 0.05)
0-2 @ 2.48% (0.025 0.02)
1-3 @ 1.11% (0.023 0.02)
2-3 @ 0.96% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 1.41%
Total : 16.6%

Head to Head
Apr 24, 2022 1.30am
Barracas Central
1-1
Velez Sarsfield
Mouche (42')
Mater (90+5'), Glaby (90+9')
Janson (77' pen.)
Seoane (81'), Sonora (90+7')
rhs 2.0
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