Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union win with a probability of 44.55%. A draw had a probability of 28.7% and a win for Independiente Rivadavia had a probability of 26.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.07%) and 1-2 (8.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.07%), while for a Independiente Rivadavia win it was 1-0 (10.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 14.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Union in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Union.