Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 4

Jun 5, 2024 at 12am UK

Estadio Juan Bautista Gargantini

Independiente Rivadavia
0 - 1
Union

Romero (4'), Romero (4'), Palacios (39'), Palacios (39'), Ramis (64'), Ramis (64')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Balboa (63' pen., 63' pen.)
Mosqueira (17'), Mosqueira (17'), Pitton (27'), Pitton (27'), Pardo (28'), Pardo (28'), Paz (57'), Paz (57'), Asenjo (67'), Orsini (67'), Asenjo (67'), Orsini (67')
Pitton (74'), Pitton (74'), Balboa (86'), Balboa (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Argentine Primera Division clash between Independiente Rivadavia and Union, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Independiente Rivadavia

All competitions

Last Game: Sarmiento 0-1 Independiente Rivadavia
Sunday, May 26 at 9.30pm in Argentine Primera Division

Goals
for

Union

All competitions

Last Game: Union 2-0 Barracas Central
Monday, May 27 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union win with a probability of 44.55%. A draw had a probability of 28.7% and a win for Independiente Rivadavia had a probability of 26.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.07%) and 1-2 (8.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.07%), while for a Independiente Rivadavia win it was 1-0 (10.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 14.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Union in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Union.

Result
Independiente Rivadavia	Draw	Union
26.78% ( -1.06)	28.67% ( -0.44)	44.55% ( 1.51)

Both teams to score 43.06% (

0.49)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

37.25% (

0.92)

62.74% (

-0.92)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

17.72% (

0.67)

82.28% (

-0.66)

Independiente Rivadavia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.92% (

-0.38)

40.08% (

0.38)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.27% (

-0.36)

76.73% (

0.36)

Union Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.86% (

1.26)

28.13% (

-1.26)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.18% (

1.57)

63.81% (

-1.57)

Score Analysis

Independiente Rivadavia 26.78%

Union 44.55%

Draw 28.66%

Independiente Rivadavia	Draw	Union
1-0 @ 10.31% ( -0.47) 2-1 @ 5.98% ( -0.12) 2-0 @ 4.71% ( -0.27) 3-1 @ 1.82% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 1.44% ( -0.1) 3-2 @ 1.16% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.37% Total : 26.78%	1-1 @ 13.07% ( -0.13) 0-0 @ 11.27% ( -0.39) 2-2 @ 3.79% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.53% Total : 28.66%	0-1 @ 14.3% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 9.07% ( 0.32) 1-2 @ 8.29% ( 0.21) 0-3 @ 3.83% ( 0.26) 1-3 @ 3.51% ( 0.21) 2-3 @ 1.6% ( 0.08) 0-4 @ 1.22% ( 0.12) 1-4 @ 1.11% ( 0.1) Other @ 1.63% Total : 44.55%